LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) Export

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Kinder Morgan Surges 30% in a Year: Risks to Consider Before Jumping In
ZACKSยท 2025-08-19 14:15
Core Insights - Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) has experienced a stock price increase of 30.3% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 24.2% [1][7] - The company's project backlog has risen to $9.3 billion, up from $8.8 billion, indicating strong demand for its services and potential for increased cash flows [3][4] Project Backlog and Developments - KMI's project backlog grew significantly during the June quarter of 2025, reflecting robust demand for its services [3] - The company undertook $1.3 billion in new projects, including the Trident Phase 2 and Louisiana Line Texas Access projects, aimed at transporting natural gas from Texas to Louisiana [4] - Nearly half of the backlog projects are driven by increasing power demand, particularly from data centers and population growth, enhancing KMI's business outlook [5] LNG Demand and Market Position - KMI is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for natural gas, particularly in the LNG export market, where it transports approximately 40% of gas to liquefaction terminals [8] - The company anticipates that global LNG demand will double by the end of the decade, supported by its extensive network of natural gas pipelines along the U.S. Gulf Coast [9] Financial Health and Valuation - KMI's debt-to-capitalization ratio stands at 50.5%, which is lower than the industry average of 57.2%, indicating a relatively stronger position to manage market uncertainties [10] - The stock is currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 13.60x, which is a discount compared to the industry average of 14.14x and other midstream companies [12] Future Projects and Risks - KMI is planning significant projects, such as the Copper State pipeline in Arizona, with estimated costs between $4 billion and $5 billion, which could yield strong returns but also carry risks if energy demand slows or regulations change [17] - The emergence of new pipelines in the Permian Basin may impact KMI's rates once its long-term contracts expire, scheduled for 2029 and 2030 [14]