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How the Iran war and rising energy prices are threatening semiconductor demand
CNBC· 2026-03-10 13:11
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing conflict in the Middle East poses significant risks to the semiconductor industry, particularly regarding access to essential materials and rising costs that could dampen demand for chips critical to the AI sector [1][2][3]. Semiconductor Supply Chain Impact - The U.S.-Israel war with Iran has highlighted the importance of Middle Eastern countries in the semiconductor supply chain, leading to a significant sell-off in semiconductor stocks, with over $200 billion lost in value for SK Hynix and Samsung since the conflict began [2][3]. - Analysts warn that a prolonged conflict could disrupt manufacturing operations by affecting the sourcing of key materials like helium and bromine, which are vital for chip production [3][4][5]. Key Materials and Production Risks - Qatar produces over a third of the world's helium, essential for cooling in semiconductor manufacturing, and disruptions in this supply could have severe consequences for the global semiconductor industry [4][5][6]. - An extended shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz could remove more than 25% of the world's helium supply from the market, exacerbating the situation [6][8]. - Bromine, another critical material for semiconductor manufacturing, is predominantly produced in Israel and Jordan, further complicating the supply chain [8]. Energy Costs and Demand - Rising energy costs, driven by the conflict, could negatively impact semiconductor demand, particularly for energy-intensive data centers that utilize chips from companies like Nvidia, Samsung, and SK Hynix [10][12]. - The price of Brent crude oil has risen above $100, indicating higher operational costs for AI data centers, which are significantly more power-hungry than traditional data centers [12][13]. Impact on Korean Chipmakers - Samsung and SK Hynix, as the largest memory chip producers, are particularly vulnerable due to their reliance on the semiconductor market for consumer electronics and AI infrastructure [13][14]. - The demand for memory chips has surged due to AI developments, leading to unprecedented price increases, but rising costs and potential demand pullbacks are causing investor concerns [16][17]. - While both companies have secured supply contracts for HBM for the year, an extended conflict could delay AI infrastructure projects and negatively affect conventional DRAM pricing and revenues [17][18].