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LendingTree Rises 9.9% in a Year: Is the Stock Worth Buying Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-04-10 17:05
Core Viewpoint - LendingTree, Inc. has shown resilience and growth through diversification and strategic acquisitions, positioning itself well for future profitability despite challenges in the mortgage sector [4][20]. Performance Overview - LendingTree's shares have increased by 9.9% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 7.9% and the S&P 500's rise of 6.8% [1]. - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, surpassing Zacks Consensus Estimates in three of the last four quarters [12]. Revenue Diversification - The company has shifted from an overreliance on mortgage lending to a diversified online marketplace, expanding its offerings to include credit cards, personal loans, auto loans, small business loans, and student loans [5][6]. - Non-mortgage revenue streams have experienced a compound annual growth rate of 3.3% over the past three years, indicating successful diversification efforts [7]. Inorganic Growth and Technology Investment - LendingTree has engaged in multiple acquisitions exceeding $1 billion, enhancing its credit services and online lending platform [8]. - The investment in EarnUp, a consumer-facing payments platform, reflects the company's commitment to building a tech-enabled ecosystem for financial health management [9]. Cost Management - The company has implemented cost-containment measures, including headcount reductions and the elimination of less profitable businesses, resulting in a decrease in variable marketing margin from 41.7% in 2023 to 33.8% in 2024 [10]. Earnings Growth and Projections - In Q4 2024, LendingTree reported adjusted EPS of $1.16, a significant increase from 28 cents in the previous year, driven by a 188% year-over-year growth in the Insurance segment [11]. - Earnings are projected to grow by 20.7% in 2025 and 23.6% in 2026, outpacing peers [14][18]. Sales Estimates - For 2025, the company is expected to generate revenues of approximately $1.01 billion, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 11.85% [21]. - The sales growth for 2026 is projected at 5.68% [21]. Valuation - LendingTree is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 10.89X, which is lower than the industry average of 19.19X, indicating it may be undervalued relative to its peers [23].