Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Industrials, specifically focusing on New Energy Equipment - **Key Focus**: Lithium-ion battery (LiB) equipment and solar equipment orders Core Insights - **LiB Equipment Orders**: - Expected to show positive quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) growth in 3Q25 due to strong demand for energy storage systems (ESS) and recovery in industry utilization [6][8] - Wuxi Lead Intelligent anticipates new orders to rise over 40% year-over-year (YoY) in 3Q25, aiming for a full-year growth target of over 30% in 2025 [8] - Zhejiang Hangke Technology also expects QoQ improvement in new orders, maintaining a 30% growth target for 2025 [8] - **Solar Equipment Orders**: - New orders for solar equipment were either zero or very limited for most players in 3Q25, indicating a significant downturn [6][8] - DR Laser is an exception, expecting intact orders for BC cells to offset weak demand for TOPCon equipment [6][8] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: - GPM is under pressure due to legacy low-margin orders and a low overseas order mix, but is expected to recover alongside revenue recognition [6][8] Company-Specific Insights - **Wuxi Lead Intelligent (300450.SZ)**: - New orders expected to rise >40% YoY in 3Q25, with modest sales recovery but ongoing GPM pressure [8] - **Zhejiang Hangke Technology (688006.SS)**: - Similar expectations for new orders and GPM pressure as Wuxi Lead [8] - **DR Laser (300776.SZ)**: - Anticipates stable GPM with a higher mix of BC equipment despite slowing sales growth [8] - **Wuxi Autowell Technology Co Ltd (688516.SS)** and **Shenzhen SC New Energy Technology Corp (300724.SZ)**: - Both companies are facing muted solar equipment orders and ongoing sales/NP pressure due to global overcapacity [8] - **Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co Ltd (300751.SZ)**: - Semi equipment orders are in line with targets, but limited HJT orders are expected due to overcapacity [8] - **Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co (300316.SZ)**: - Likely downside surprise in SiC substrate orders due to high costs and complexity [8] Additional Considerations - **Market Sentiment**: - The market has largely priced in the muted solar equipment orders, reflecting cautious downstream capital expenditure during the downcycle [8] - **Future Outlook**: - Further shortfalls in solar equipment orders are expected into 3Q25, with intensified overcapacity in the solar wafer process, indicating downside risks to fundamentals into 2H26 [8] Conclusion - The conference call highlighted a mixed outlook for the China Industrials sector, with LiB equipment players showing signs of recovery while solar equipment orders face significant challenges. The focus remains on the recovery of GPM and the impact of global market conditions on future orders.