Summary of Conference Call on China Industrials Industry Overview - **Sector**: China Industrials - **Outlook**: Bullish on China Industrials driven by AI theme tailwinds, high-end equipment localization, and overseas expansion [1][6] Key Insights Automation and General Machinery - **Growth Forecast**: Expected sequential growth recovery for the automation market in 2026-27 at +3-4% year-on-year [2] - **Drivers**: 1. Replacement demand due to rapid technology iteration 2. New capex demand from AI applications (e.g., intelligent robots, PCB equipment, AI wearables) 3. Enhanced competitiveness of advanced equipment manufacturers globally - **Preferred Stocks**: Inovance for localization story; Geekplus for AMR/robotics solutions in warehouses [2] Intelligent/Humanoid Robots - **Adoption Trend**: Gradual ramp-up in adoption expected, benefiting suppliers and integrators [3] - **Preferred Stocks**: Leaderdrive, Hengli, Inovance, Shuanghuan for mass production advantages despite humanoid products still in development [3] Heavy Industry 1. **Construction Machinery**: Entering an improvement cycle with domestic recovery and overseas demand; preferred stocks include Sany Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli [4] 2. **Heavy-Duty Truck Sales**: Expected ~10% year-on-year decline in 2026 to ~1 million units, impacted by domestic market conditions (-15% year-on-year) and NEV purchase tax hike [4] 3. **Railway Equipment**: Anticipated slowdown in MU tenders to <200 sets, leading to slower net profit growth for CRRC and Times Electric [4] New Energy Equipment - **Demand Forecast**: Lithium-ion battery (LiB) equipment demand projected to increase by 24% in 2026 and 21% in 2027, reaching historical cyclical highs [5] - **Preferred Stock**: Wuxi Lead - **Outlook for Solar Equipment**: Negative outlook for 2026 due to lack of solar capacity turnaround; non-solar order growth and potential new capacity from space solar already priced in [5] Stock Ratings and Price Targets - **Overweight Stocks**: Geekplus, Sany Heavy, Leaderdrive, Han's Laser, Inovance, Hengli, Wuxi Lead, Envicool, among others [11] - **Price Target Changes**: - Times Electric: Target reduced from HKD 44.0 to 41.1 (-5%) - CRRC-H: Target reduced from HKD 6.4 to 6.1 (-17%) - Leaderdrive: Target increased from CNY 153.0 to 216.4 (+24%) [10] Additional Insights - **Market Cap and Trading Volume**: Various companies listed with significant market caps and average daily trading volumes, indicating active trading interest [11] - **Analyst Ratings**: Majority of stocks rated as Buy/Overweight, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [10][11] Conclusion - The China Industrials sector is poised for growth, particularly in automation, heavy machinery, and new energy equipment, with specific companies highlighted as key investment opportunities. The overall sentiment remains optimistic, supported by technological advancements and market recovery trends.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The report covers the **China Industrials** sector, specifically focusing on **Automation & Robotics**, **Construction Machinery**, **Heavy-duty Trucks**, and **New Energy** stocks that may influence share prices in the near future [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Automation Sector**: - Monthly new order intake growth and industrial robot production are expected to be reported at the beginning and mid-month respectively [5][6]. - Shenzhen Inovance Technology anticipates approximately **20% year-on-year growth** in new orders for January-February 2026, driven by a modest capital expenditure recovery and market share gains [8][9]. - **Heavy-duty Trucks (HDT)**: - Monthly sales volume data will be released at the beginning of each month [5]. - Negative growth is expected in the domestic HDT market for 1Q26 due to front-loading in 2025 and a **5% increase in NEV purchase tax** in 2026, although export growth is projected to remain resilient [9][11]. - **Construction Machinery**: - Monthly excavator sales volume will be reported at the beginning of each month, with expectations that export growth will offset high base pressure from domestic sales in January-February [8][9]. Company-Specific Catalysts - **Beijing Geekplus Technology Co., Ltd. (2590.HK)**: - Inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect program is expected in **February 2026**, following its addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index [7]. - Launch of a wheel-based humanoid robot is anticipated, which could enhance its position as an unmanned warehouse solution provider [7]. - **Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co., Ltd. (601100.SS)**: - Anticipated updates on Tesla's Optimus Gen 3 in 1Q26, which may lead to a revision of sales outlook for 2026 [7][8]. - **Wuxi Lead Intelligent (300450.SZ)**: - Expected improvement in liquid LiB equipment orders in 1Q26, driven by strong demand for energy storage systems [7]. - **Sany Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. (600031.SS)**: - Expected growth in excavator sales, with export growth anticipated to mitigate domestic sales pressures [8]. - **Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157.SZ)**: - Anticipated cyclical recovery in non-excavator machinery sales, supported by solid export growth [8]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Conditions**: - Concerns remain regarding growth momentum amid an anti-involution and deflationary environment, alongside margin pressures from the NEV powertrain business [9]. - **Chinese Hyperscalers**: - Potential acceleration in AI capital expenditure for Chinese hyperscalers is expected, which should support demand for cooling solutions [11]. - **Profit Alerts**: - Estun Automation is expected to issue a profit alert in January, indicating a return to profitability after a net loss in 2024 [9]. Conclusion The conference call highlights significant catalysts and trends within the China Industrials sector, with a focus on automation, heavy-duty trucks, and construction machinery. Key companies are positioned to leverage upcoming developments, although challenges such as market conditions and regulatory changes remain pertinent.

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Industrials, specifically focusing on New Energy Equipment - **Key Focus**: Lithium-ion battery (LiB) equipment and solar equipment orders Core Insights - **LiB Equipment Orders**: - Expected to show positive quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) growth in 3Q25 due to strong demand for energy storage systems (ESS) and recovery in industry utilization [6][8] - Wuxi Lead Intelligent anticipates new orders to rise over 40% year-over-year (YoY) in 3Q25, aiming for a full-year growth target of over 30% in 2025 [8] - Zhejiang Hangke Technology also expects QoQ improvement in new orders, maintaining a 30% growth target for 2025 [8] - **Solar Equipment Orders**: - New orders for solar equipment were either zero or very limited for most players in 3Q25, indicating a significant downturn [6][8] - DR Laser is an exception, expecting intact orders for BC cells to offset weak demand for TOPCon equipment [6][8] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: - GPM is under pressure due to legacy low-margin orders and a low overseas order mix, but is expected to recover alongside revenue recognition [6][8] Company-Specific Insights - **Wuxi Lead Intelligent (300450.SZ)**: - New orders expected to rise >40% YoY in 3Q25, with modest sales recovery but ongoing GPM pressure [8] - **Zhejiang Hangke Technology (688006.SS)**: - Similar expectations for new orders and GPM pressure as Wuxi Lead [8] - **DR Laser (300776.SZ)**: - Anticipates stable GPM with a higher mix of BC equipment despite slowing sales growth [8] - **Wuxi Autowell Technology Co Ltd (688516.SS)** and **Shenzhen SC New Energy Technology Corp (300724.SZ)**: - Both companies are facing muted solar equipment orders and ongoing sales/NP pressure due to global overcapacity [8] - **Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co Ltd (300751.SZ)**: - Semi equipment orders are in line with targets, but limited HJT orders are expected due to overcapacity [8] - **Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co (300316.SZ)**: - Likely downside surprise in SiC substrate orders due to high costs and complexity [8] Additional Considerations - **Market Sentiment**: - The market has largely priced in the muted solar equipment orders, reflecting cautious downstream capital expenditure during the downcycle [8] - **Future Outlook**: - Further shortfalls in solar equipment orders are expected into 3Q25, with intensified overcapacity in the solar wafer process, indicating downside risks to fundamentals into 2H26 [8] Conclusion - The conference call highlighted a mixed outlook for the China Industrials sector, with LiB equipment players showing signs of recovery while solar equipment orders face significant challenges. The focus remains on the recovery of GPM and the impact of global market conditions on future orders.