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Why RH Stock Is Still Risky Even as Profit Soars
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-13 08:04
Core Viewpoint - RH has shown progress in profitability despite facing macroeconomic challenges and tariff uncertainties, but the company's outlook has become more cautious, leading to a decline in share prices after the earnings report [1][11]. Financial Performance - For the second quarter, RH reported revenue of approximately $899 million, representing an 8.4% year-over-year increase, while net income surged by 79% to around $52 million [4]. - Free cash flow for the quarter was about $81 million, indicating strong cash generation [4]. - Adjusted operating margin improved to 15.1%, and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 20.6%, both up 340 basis points from the previous year, showcasing significant margin expansion alongside revenue growth [5]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing in a global brand strategy, including new flagship locations in Europe, while navigating tariff-related uncertainties and a sluggish U.S. housing market [2][10]. - RH is shifting its sourcing strategy, expecting receipts from China to decrease to about 2% by Q4, down from 16% in Q1, and increasing production in the U.S. and Italy [9]. Guidance and Outlook - RH revised its fiscal 2025 revenue growth forecast to 9% to 11%, down from a previous estimate of 10% to 13%, and adjusted its operating margin expectations to between 13% and 14% [7]. - The company anticipates about $30 million in incremental tariff costs in the second half and expects a delay in the fall interiors sourcebook, pushing an estimated $40 million of revenue from Q3 to Q4 and early fiscal 2026 [8]. Market Conditions - The housing market remains a significant concern, with the CEO expressing disappointment in its performance despite demand growth [10]. - International expansion efforts, such as the opening of RH Paris, are seen as a counterbalance to domestic challenges, with plans for additional locations in London and Milan by 2026 [10]. Valuation Considerations - Despite improved profitability metrics, RH's valuation remains challenging, trading near a mid-50s price-to-earnings multiple and a market capitalization exceeding $4 billion, which may deter new investors given the uncertainties [11].
RH Shares Fall As Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates, Tariffs Cloud Outlook
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-09-12 19:05
Core Insights - RH's shares fell 5% after reporting second-quarter earnings that missed analyst expectations despite revenue growth [1] - Adjusted earnings were $2.93 per share, below the expected $3.18, while revenue increased by 8.4% to $899.2 million, falling short of the $906.58 million consensus [1] - Demand grew by 13.7% during the quarter [1] Financial Performance - Net income surged by 79%, and free cash flow reached $81 million [2] - Operating margin remained at 15.1%, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 20.6%, both up 340 basis points year-over-year [2] - The company revised its fiscal 2025 outlook, now expecting revenue growth of 9% to 11% and operating margins between 13% and 14% [2] - For the third quarter, revenue growth is anticipated in the range of 8% to 10% [2] Supply Chain and Tariff Impact - Management indicated that sourcing from China would decrease from 16% in the first quarter to 2% in the fourth quarter [3] - Recently imposed 50% tariffs on India are expected to impact 7% of the business [3]
RH shares sink after full-year forecast cut and Q2 results miss (RH:NYSE)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-11 20:56
Shares of luxury home furnishings retailer RH (NYSE:RH) are in the red after the bell on Thursday after its second-quarter results came in below expectations and the company cut its forecast for the year. RH stock fell 13% in immediate ...
RH Stock Climbs 19% in Past Month: Buy the Surge or Pull Back?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:26
Core Viewpoint - RH has experienced an 18.5% increase in stock price over the past month, outperforming the Hoya Capital Housing ETF (HOMZ) index, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1] Group 1: Company Performance - RH is benefiting from investments across its brand portfolio, leading to improvements in the Furniture & Home Furnishing business [2] - The company has outperformed competitors such as Williams-Sonoma, Arhaus, and Lovesac, which saw stock price increases of 16.3%, 12%, and 5.1% respectively over the same period [3] - RH's Q1 demand in Europe rose by 60%, with significant openings planned in Paris, London, and Milan by 2026 [6][9] Group 2: Market Trends - The Furniture & Home Furnishing business saw a year-over-year sales growth of 4.5% in June 2025, reflecting positive market trends [4] - RH is positioned to meet its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance, expecting growth between 10% and 13% year-over-year [5] Group 3: Global Expansion and Sourcing Strategies - RH is strategically expanding into international markets, particularly Europe, where demand is strong [6][9] - The company is shifting its sourcing from China to the US and Italy to mitigate tariff impacts, projecting a reduction in receipts from China from 16% to 2% by Q4 of fiscal 2025 [10] Group 4: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - RH's stock is trading at a forward P/E ratio of 17.55, which is lower than competitors Williams-Sonoma and Arhaus, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation for investors [11] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 and 2026 have been revised to $10.76 and $14.61 per share, indicating year-over-year growth of 99.6% and 35.8% respectively [12] Group 5: Challenges and Risks - The softness in the U.S. housing market is impacting RH's revenue visibility, as high mortgage rates and affordability concerns suppress new home sales and renovation activities [15] - Tariff-related risks are a concern, with the company facing potential revenue impacts due to new tariffs announced in April 2025 [17]