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Forget Intel: This Fast‑Moving CPU and GPU Innovator Is the Higher‑Upside Bet for Long‑Term Chip Investors
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-30 01:30
Core Viewpoint - Intel is struggling to capitalize on the growth in the AI chip market, while its competitor AMD is making significant progress in this area [1][2]. Group 1: Intel's Performance - Intel's stock has seen a remarkable increase of 137% over the past six months, driven by turnaround efforts and investments from Nvidia, SoftBank, and the U.S. government [1]. - Despite the stock price surge, Intel reported a 4% year-over-year decline in revenue for Q4 2025, although its data center and AI segment grew by 9% [3]. - Management indicated that DCAI revenue could have been higher with better supply, and they expect supply conditions to improve in the coming quarters [4]. - Intel's guidance for Q2 indicates break-even earnings per share, lower than the previous year's non-GAAP earnings of $0.13, leading to a negative market reaction [5]. Group 2: AMD's Growth Prospects - AMD is projected to achieve a 32% revenue increase for 2025, with earnings growth expected to accelerate in 2026 [9]. - The company is launching the MI400 data center GPU, which will nearly double the computing power of its predecessor, and anticipates a 1,000x increase in AI performance with the MI500 GPU next year [12]. - AMD's server CPU market share increased by 3.5 percentage points year-over-year to 27.8% in Q3 2025, with expectations to capture over half of the server CPU market in the long run [13][14]. - The server CPU market is projected to grow from $26 billion last year to over $60 billion by 2030, with AMD's potential revenue from this segment reaching $30 billion by the end of the decade [14][15]. - Analysts are optimistic about AMD's future, suggesting that its accelerating earnings growth could lead to a premium valuation compared to Intel [17].