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CNO Financial Group(CNO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-06 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - CNO Financial Group achieved an operating return on equity of 11.4% for 2025, an improvement from 10% in 2024, and is on track to reach a target of 12% by 2027 [14][19] - Operating earnings per diluted share increased by 11% to $4.40, with a full-year operating earnings per share of $4.02, exceeding the high end of original guidance [5][14] - The company returned $386 million to shareholders, marking an 11% increase over 2024, and raised its quarterly common stock dividend for the 13th consecutive year [6][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer division reported a record total new annualized premium (NAP) growth of 15%, with life NAP up 10% and Medicare supplement NAP up 49% for the year [8][9] - The worksite division also achieved record insurance sales, up 15% for the full year, with life insurance sales increasing by 36% [11][12] - Overall, the company experienced its 14th consecutive quarter of sales growth and 12th consecutive quarter of growth in producing agent count [4][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total health NAP increased by 22%, marking 14 consecutive quarters of growth, while Medicare Advantage policies sold decreased by 3% for the year [9][10] - The company holds over $18 billion in client assets, up 11% from 2024, reflecting strong growth in brokerage and advisory channels [10][11] - The investment portfolio remains high quality, with 97% rated investment grade and an average rating of single A [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - CNO Financial Group focuses on the underserved middle-income market, leveraging a last-mile captive agent distribution model as a competitive advantage [5][6] - The company is investing in technology modernization with an expected investment of approximately $170 million over three years, with $20 million deployed in 2025 and $75 million expected in 2026 [22] - The strategic exit from the fee services business within the worksite division is progressing on schedule, expected to be largely complete in the first half of 2026 [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about the lack of visibility in the operating environment due to economic factors such as layoffs and job numbers, which could impact consumer behavior [28][31] - Despite potential headwinds, the company remains optimistic about the demand for Medicare products, with 11,000 Americans turning 65 each day [10][32] - The outlook for 2026 includes expected operating earnings per share between $4.25 and $4.45, reflecting an 8% increase at the midpoint from 2025 results [20][22] Other Important Information - The effective tax rate on operating income was 20.6% for the year, below the guidance of 22%-22.5%, due to tax strategies implemented in the fourth quarter [14][15] - The consolidated risk-based capital ratio was 380%, within the target range of 360%-390%, providing flexibility for growth and capital deployment [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Earnings emergence and target returns - Management indicated that the time to hit target returns varies by product, but confidence remains in meeting ROE targets due to strong sales momentum [26][27] Question: Environment impact on recruiting and agent count growth - Management expects to grow producing agent count in 2026, emphasizing productivity over sheer numbers, while acknowledging economic pressures on discretionary purchases [28][30] Question: Sustainability of growth levels - Management believes that while Medicare Advantage sales may decline, Medicare supplement sales will continue to rise due to demographic trends [39][40] Question: Impact of Medicare Advantage distribution fees - Management has reflected expected pressures in Medicare Advantage in their projections, focusing more on Medicare supplement products [42][43] Question: Capital deployment strategy - Management plans to return excess capital to shareholders through share repurchases while being measured in capital deployment [46][47] Question: Investment portfolio exposure to software - The company has a small exposure to software in its investment portfolio, with a focus on mission-critical software [69][70]