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Optimus Could Be ‘the Biggest Product of All Time.’ Does That Make TSLA Stock a Buy Despite Musk’s Distractions, Tesla’s Earnings Miss?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-27 14:28
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's recent earnings report reveals a mixed performance with record vehicle sales but declining profitability, while Elon Musk emphasizes the company's future focus on robotics and AI, particularly the Optimus humanoid robot [5][13][17]. Company Overview - Tesla, with a market cap of $1.44 trillion, is a leader in the transition to sustainable energy, manufacturing electric vehicles, solar energy systems, and energy storage products, while also expanding into AI and robotics [2]. Earnings Performance - Tesla's Q3 revenue increased by 11.6% year-over-year to $28.09 billion, surpassing Wall Street estimates by $1.39 billion, driven by a surge in demand before the expiration of EV tax credits [13]. - Automotive revenues grew 6% year-over-year to $21.2 billion, but concerns remain about a potential decline in U.S. EV sales in the current quarter [13]. - The energy segment achieved record deployment levels, generating $3.4 billion in revenue, up 44% year-over-year [14]. Profitability Challenges - Tesla's total GAAP gross margin fell by 185 basis points year-over-year to 18%, with operating profit dropping 40% year-over-year to $1.6 billion [15]. - Adjusted EPS was $0.50, down 31% year-over-year, missing expectations by $0.06, largely due to cost pressures and lower regulatory credit revenue [15]. Robotics Vision - Musk describes the Optimus humanoid robot as a potential "infinite money glitch" and believes it could become the biggest product of all time, with significant mentions during the earnings call [4][6]. - The company aims to produce up to 1 million robots per year by the end of the decade, although challenges in design and supply chain integration remain [11][12]. Market Outlook - Analysts are divided on Tesla's stock, with a consensus "Hold" rating, reflecting optimism about Musk's vision for AI and robotics against concerns over profitability and valuation [17]. - The humanoid robotics market is projected to reach $5 trillion by 2050, indicating significant long-term growth potential [9].