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Is it Time to Dump Your Shares of Moderna?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-06-12 08:25
Core Viewpoint - Moderna has faced a significant decline in stock value, approximately 80% over the past three years, due to reduced demand for its coronavirus vaccine, despite recent positive developments in its product pipeline and cost-cutting measures [1][2][10]. Group 1: Company Performance - Moderna's revenue peaked at $18.4 billion in 2022 from its coronavirus vaccine, but demand has since dropped, leading to a decline in sales [5][10]. - The company has received approval for a second product, its respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine, but initial sales have been disappointing [2][6]. - Moderna aims to achieve between $1.4 billion and $1.7 billion in GAAP operating cost reductions by 2027 [7]. Group 2: Product Pipeline and Future Goals - Moderna has a robust late-stage pipeline with goals for up to 10 product approvals in the coming years, including multiple cancer vaccines [8][9]. - Currently, there are seven cancer-vaccine candidates in phase 2 or phase 3 studies, which could provide multiple revenue streams if successful [9]. - The company continues to focus on advancing its mRNA technology across various treatment areas, including latent viruses and cancer vaccines [4][5]. Group 3: Market Challenges and Investor Sentiment - Despite positive developments, investor sentiment remains cautious due to the ongoing decline in coronavirus vaccine sales and early disappointments in the RSV market [10][12]. - Uncertainty surrounding government vaccine policies may also pose challenges for Moderna's stock performance [11]. - Long-term prospects for revenue growth remain, particularly as key product approvals approach, suggesting potential for future stock appreciation [13][14].