Core Insights - Medtronic plc (MDT) is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on August 19, with adjusted earnings in the last quarter exceeding estimates by 2.53% [1][2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 revenues is $8.37 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.7%, while earnings per share (EPS) is estimated at $1.23, flat compared to the previous year [2][12] - EPS estimates have declined by 6.8% over the past 90 days, reflecting challenges from rising costs and inflationary pressures [3][4] Financial Performance - Medtronic has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.21% [1] - The company’s adjusted gross margin decreased by 70 basis points year-over-year in Q4 fiscal 2025 due to foreign exchange impacts [9] - The company expects a 1-2% unfavorable impact on quarterly revenues from foreign exchange at recent rates [11] Business Segments and Growth Drivers - The separation of the Diabetes business, which accounted for about 8% of total revenue, may have affected quarterly performance [5][13] - Despite challenges, Medtronic has shown resilience with mid-single-digit organic revenue growth and strong performance in several segments, including pulse field ablation, TAVR, and neuromodulation [14][15] - The company is expected to report growth in its Neuromodulation segment, driven by closed-loop sensing technology [17] Market Position and Valuation - Medtronic's stock rose 9.3% in the fiscal first quarter, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [25] - The company trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.23, significantly below the industry average of 22.00 and the S&P 500's 21.19, indicating a potential undervaluation [26] - Medtronic's liquidity position is strong, with cash and cash equivalents of $8.97 billion against total debt of $28.5 billion [22][23] Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on foundational changes, including improving global operations and investing in fast-growth MedTech markets [19][20] - Medtronic's highest growth opportunities are in markets growing faster than the overall company, particularly in Cardiac Ablation [21] - The ongoing transformation and exposure to strong secular growth markets position Medtronic for long-term growth despite macroeconomic headwinds [29]

Core Viewpoint - Medtronic is facing challenges in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 due to rising costs, geopolitical pressures, and declining earnings estimates despite previous earnings beats [3][4][6]. Financial Performance - Medtronic's adjusted earnings for the last reported quarter were $1.39, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.21% [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal fourth-quarter revenues is $8.81 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 2.6% [2] - The consensus estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is $1.58 per share, reflecting an 8.2% rise year-over-year [2] - Earnings estimates for the fourth quarter have declined by 1.9% over the past 90 days [2] Challenges and Headwinds - Rising costs and expenses due to inflation and geopolitical pressures are impacting profitability [3] - The tariff environment is affecting financial outlook, particularly due to Medtronic's manufacturing presence in Mexico and Canada [4] - Lower procedural volumes in elective surgeries and other medical procedures are putting pressure on the bottom line [6] - Unfavorable currency movements are expected to negatively impact revenues by $125 million to $175 million in the fourth quarter [8] Growth Opportunities - Despite challenges, Medtronic has shown resilience with mid-single-digit organic revenue growth [9] - Key growth areas include pulse field ablation, TAVR, neuromodulation, and diabetes businesses, driven by new product launches [10][12][13] - The company has made foundational changes to improve operations and is focusing on fast-growth MedTech markets [15][16] Market Position - Medtronic's stock has declined 5.9% in the fiscal fourth quarter, underperforming compared to industry peers [20] - The company's shares trade at a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.24X, below the industry average of 21.71X and the S&P 500's 20.43X [24][25] Conclusion - Medtronic has significant long-term growth potential but faces macroeconomic headwinds and rising expenses that could impact bottom-line growth [26]

The broader market rally, which pushed the benchmark to a two-week record high yesterday, fueled by tech giants like NVIDIA and Tesla, has provided a much-needed breather for investors. This has potentially set the stage for stocks like Medtronic (MDT) to gain momentum.Over the past couple of months, Medtronic’s stock performance has remained sluggish, declining by 0.8%, reflecting the broader industry trend amid challenges such as aggressive tariff policies, trade tensions, and inflationary pressures. Duri ...