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CRWV Stock Jumps 209% in 3 Months: Hold Steady or Make an Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:16
Core Viewpoint - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) stock has seen a significant appreciation of 208.5% over the past three months, closing at $125.84, which is more than three times its initial opening price of $39 on March 28, 2025 [1][2]. Company Performance - CRWV is strategically positioned to benefit from the AI infrastructure boom with its GPU-based cloud solutions tailored for AI workloads, supported by partnerships with major players like OpenAI and NVIDIA, and a substantial revenue backlog of $259 billion [2]. - Despite the impressive stock performance, CRWV experienced a 21% decline following the announcement of a $9 billion acquisition of Core Scientific on July 7 [5][8]. Financial Metrics - The company anticipates capital expenditures (capex) between $20 billion and $23 billion for 2025, driven by accelerated investments to meet customer demand, which raises concerns about sustaining high capital intensity if revenues do not keep pace [6][10]. - Interest expenses surged to $264 million in the first quarter, exceeding expectations, and are projected to remain elevated between $260 million and $300 million in the current quarter, impacting adjusted net income and free cash flow generation [8][9]. Competitive Landscape - CoreWeave faces intense competition in the AI cloud infrastructure market, dominated by Amazon and Microsoft, with Nebius also emerging as a strong competitor, showcasing a revenue growth of 385% in the last reported quarter [11][12]. - Customer concentration poses a significant risk, with 77% of total revenues in 2024 derived from the top two customers, raising concerns about potential revenue loss if these clients migrate [12]. Valuation Concerns - CoreWeave's valuation appears lofty, with a Price/Book ratio of 31.69X, significantly higher than the Internet Software industry's average of 6.54X, indicating that much of the future growth may already be priced into the stock [14].
Is NBIS Stock Worth Investing After a 24% Drop in the Past 3 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 16:40
Core Viewpoint - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) shares have declined by 24.2% over the past three months, reflecting both broader market volatility and company-specific challenges [1][2] Market Context - Broader market volatility has been influenced by tariff and trade tensions, particularly between the United States and China, despite a temporary pause in reciprocal tariffs announced by President Trump [1] - The stock has underperformed compared to the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software Services industry, which declined by 12.9% and 3.7%, respectively [4] Company Performance - Nebius has faced operating losses, divestment of Yandex, and pricing pressure from larger competitors, leading to cautious investor sentiment [2] - The stock is currently trading 53% below its 52-week high, closing at $24.11, indicating a distressed position [5] - The company's net loss widened to $136.6 million in Q4 2024, compared to a loss of $88.3 million in the same quarter the previous year [8] Competitive Landscape - Nebius is a new entrant in the AI cloud infrastructure market, competing against established players like Amazon and Microsoft, which dominate over half of the market [7] - Microsoft's exclusive partnership with OpenAI provides Azure cloud with priority access to leading AI models, intensifying pricing pressure on Nebius [7] Operational Challenges - Growth prospects for Nebius are muted due to a challenging global macroeconomic environment and increasing lead times as customers become more selective [6] - Extended deal cycles create uncertainty in revenue flow and can lead to customer churn, impacting overall business stability [10][11] Valuation and Sentiment - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downward for NBIS, and the stock is trading below its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, indicating bearish sentiment [12][13] - In terms of Price/Book ratio, NBIS shares are trading at 1.74X, lower than the industry average of 3.65, suggesting more risk than opportunity [14] Conclusion - Nebius faces significant competition in the AI infrastructure space and must focus on building customer trust and a partner ecosystem to differentiate itself [17]