Workflow
Midstream oil and natural gas pipeline and transmission services
icon
Search documents
Energy Transfer LP (ET): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-04 19:16
Core Thesis - Energy Transfer LP (ET) is viewed positively due to its undervaluation, strong dividend yield, and growth potential linked to rising energy demand and data center expansion [1][3][5] Company Overview - Energy Transfer LP operates as a midstream oil and natural gas pipeline and transmission services company, primarily generating revenue from volumes transported and stored through its infrastructure [2] Financial Metrics - As of December 2nd, ET's share price was $16.59, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 13.46 and 10.87 respectively [1] - The fair value of ET is estimated to be between $21–$22, indicating approximately 25% undervaluation compared to peers, alongside a high current dividend yield of about 8% and a normal growth rate of 4–7% CAGR [3] Growth Drivers - The key growth driver for ET is natural gas, which is expected to remain central to energy demand over the next 2–5 years, with nuclear energy becoming more significant later [3] - ET is positioned to benefit from rising energy demand associated with AI and data center expansion, having secured partnerships with a Colorado-based data center and Fermi's gigawatt energy campus in Texas [4] Future Outlook - Planned expansions in Texas natural gas capacity and recent rate cuts are expected to enhance ET's growth trajectory, with modeling suggesting a potential share price of $30+ by 2028 [4] - Options markets appear undervalued, particularly long-dated LEAPS through 2027–2028, presenting opportunities for outsized returns [5] Investment Appeal - ET represents a compelling investment for both value-oriented and passive income investors due to minimal downside risk, recurring cash flows, and structural tailwinds from energy demand and data center expansion [5]