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OppFi's NCO Rate Falling: Is Risk Mitigation Strategy Paying Off?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-03 14:26
Core Insights - OppFi (OPFI) has shown a consistent decline in its Net Charge-Off (NCO) Rate, which decreased from 42% in Q4 2024 to 32% in Q2 2025, indicating improved credit quality [1][2][9] - The company's advanced underwriting model, Model 6, has enhanced loan auto-approval rates from 79% to 80%, contributing to effective risk management [4][5][9] - In Q2 2025, OppFi achieved record revenues of $142 million, reflecting a 12.8% year-over-year increase, alongside a 59% rise in adjusted net income [5][9] NCO Rate Trends - The NCO rate has consistently decreased, moving from 54% in Q4 2024 to 47% in Q1 2025, and further down to 43% in Q2 2025, showcasing the company's effective lending strategy [3][9] - The annualized NCO rate as a percentage of average receivables also followed a downward trend, reinforcing the company's focus on high-quality borrowers [3] Financial Performance - OppFi's revenue growth and profitability are supported by its internal risk-selection strategy, allowing it to navigate economic challenges effectively [6] - The stock has increased by 137.4% over the past year, outperforming competitors like Green Dot and PagSeguro Digital, which saw gains of 22.7% and 16.8%, respectively [7] Valuation Metrics - OppFi trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 7.32, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.32, indicating potential undervaluation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OppFi's earnings for 2025 and 2026 has risen by 15.4% and 4.9%, respectively, over the past 60 days [14]