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NMIH Stock Near 52-Week High: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-17 16:21
Core Viewpoint - NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) is experiencing strong investor confidence, with shares closing at $40.69, near its 52-week high, indicating potential for further price appreciation [1] Stock Performance - NMIH shares have gained 25.1% over the past year, outperforming the Finance sector's growth of 18.4% and the Zacks S&P 500 composite's growth of 9.4% [4] - The stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $36.94 and $37.82, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum [1] Earnings Growth - NMIH's earnings have grown by 15.7% over the last five years, with a solid surprise history of beating earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, averaging an 8.17% beat [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NMIH's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 8%, with revenues projected to reach $685.46 million, reflecting a 5.3% improvement [8] Valuation Metrics - NMIH shares are trading at a forward price-to-book value of 1.36X, lower than the industry average of 1.56X and the Finance sector's 4.11X [7] - The average target price for NMIH, based on short-term price targets from seven analysts, is $41.86 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 3.7% from the last closing price [12] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised estimates for NMIH's earnings for 2025 by 5.4% and for 2026 by 1.2% over the past 60 days, indicating positive sentiment [9] Return on Capital - NMIH's return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months was 17.27%, significantly higher than the industry's 7.8%, reflecting efficient utilization of shareholders' funds [14] Growth Opportunities - NMIH is well-positioned to capitalize on growth in the mortgage insurance sector, supported by a robust reinsurance strategy and increased production of both monthly and single premium policies [6][15] - The company has authorized a new $250 million share repurchase program to enhance its return profile and manage expenses effectively [17] Conclusion - NMIH is expected to benefit from favorable growth estimates, a higher return on capital, and an attractive valuation, making it a stock worth holding [19][20]