Tencent Music Entertainment Group Sponsored ADR (TME) has been on a downward spiral lately with significant selling pressure. After declining 17.5% over the past four weeks, the stock looks well positioned for a trend reversal as it is now in oversold territory and there is strong agreement among Wall Street analysts that the company will report better earnings than they predicted earlier.We use Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the most commonly used technical indicators, for spotting whether a stock i ...

Pre-market futures are up at this hour, a day after a mixed session among major indexes that saw a pullback in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 but a new record-high close for the blue-chip Dow. This looks like a step in the right direction in terms of breadth of market growth. The Dow is up another +103 points currently, the S&P 500 is +22, the Nasdaq +151 and the small-cap Russell 2000 +7 points.Operatives on Capitol Hill are still working to re-open the government after a record-long shutdown (we’re officially on ...

Core Insights - Spotify's third quarter operating profits increased by 28%, with paying subscribers reaching 281 million [1] - Operating income was €582 million ($669 million), exceeding guidance of €485 million, while revenue rose 7% to €4.27 billion [1] - Total active monthly users (MAUs) grew to 713 million, an 11% year-over-year increase and a 2% rise from Q2 [1] Financial Performance - Free cash flow reached a record high of €806 million, up 13% [1] - Ad-supported revenue declined by 6% to €446 million, despite an 11% increase in ad-supported MAUs to 446 million [2] Future Outlook - Expectations for Q4 include total MAUs of 745 million, an increase of 32 million; 289 million paying subscribers, an increase of 8 million; total revenue projected at €4.5 billion; gross margin of 32.9%; and operating income of €620 million [3] - The company expressed confidence in its performance and growth potential heading into 2025 [3] Leadership Changes - Spotify founder and CEO Daniel Ek will transition to an Executive Chairman role on January 1, 2026, with Gustav Söderström and Alex Norström becoming co-CEOs [4]

Company Updates - Spotify shares dropped following the announcement that co-founder and CEO Daniel Ek will step down, with co-presidents Gustav Soderstrom and Alex Norstrom set to take over as co-CEOs [2][4] - Instacart operator Maplebear saw its shares tumble after BTIG downgraded its rating from "buy" to "neutral," citing increased competition in the food delivery sector [2] - Firefly Aerospace experienced a significant decline in shares after one of its rocket boosters exploded during preflight tests [2] Market Reactions - Pfizer shares gained after the pharmaceutical company reached a deal with the Trump administration to lower drug prices [3][4] - CoreWeave shares surged following the announcement of a new agreement with Meta Platforms valued at up to $14.2 billion [3] - Lamb Weston Holdings shares increased after the company reported better-than-expected sales driven by improved restaurant demand [3] Economic Indicators - Major U.S. equities indexes, including the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, edged lower amid concerns over a potential government shutdown [4]

Core Insights - Spotify's founder-CEO Daniel Ek will transition to the role of executive chairman in January, with Gustav Soderstrom and Alex Norstrom appointed as co-CEOs, focusing on capital allocation and long-term strategy [1] Group 1: Leadership Changes - Daniel Ek has been on Spotify's board since 2008 and will adopt a European-style chairman role [1] - Gustav Soderstrom has nearly 17 years of experience at Spotify, most recently serving as chief product and technology officer [3] - Alex Norstrom has over 14 years at Spotify, previously holding the position of chief business officer [5] Group 2: Background of Co-CEOs - Gustav Soderstrom holds a Master of Science degree in electrical engineering and data communications from KTH Royal Institute of Technology [2] - Soderstrom founded Kenet Works in 2003, which was acquired by Yahoo! in 2006, and has been involved in various startups [2] - Alex Norstrom holds a Master of Science degree in business and economics from the Stockholm School of Economics [4] - Norstrom joined Spotify in 2011 after serving as chief new business officer at King.com [4]

Core Insights - Music streaming has become an integral part of daily life, with Spotify being the leading platform in this industry [1] Company Insights - Spotify is recognized as the world's leading music streaming service, indicating its significant market position [1] Industry Insights - The music streaming industry is shaped by various themes, influenced by technology companies and startups, highlighting the dynamic nature of the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME) has significantly outperformed Spotify in 2025, with a total return of approximately 122% compared to Spotify's 54% year-to-date increase [1][2]. Company Performance - TME is the largest music streaming service in China, boasting over 550 million monthly active users and nearly 125 million paying users, indicating its dominant market position [3]. - TME's Q2 earnings report showed a revenue growth acceleration of 18%, marking its seventh consecutive quarter of growth, following a nearly 2% revenue decline a year prior [6]. - The company's gross margin improved to 44.4%, an increase of 240 basis points year-over-year, and operating margin grew to 35.3%, up from 21.1% two years ago [7]. Investment Insights - Spotify's investment in TME, valued at around $1.6 billion at the end of 2024, suggests strong confidence in TME's business model and growth potential [5]. - Analysts have set a 12-month price target for TME at approximately $24.50, indicating a slight downside, but the average target from recent updates suggests potential upside to around $28.25, representing a 13.5% increase [8][9]. Market Position - TME's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is around 27x, which is significantly lower than Spotify's P/E of over 59x, indicating a potential undervaluation of TME [9]. - Despite TME's lack of geographic diversification, it has substantial growth potential within China, where only about 9% of the population are paying users [11][12].

Market Overview - Pre-market futures are up due to various earnings reports, economic data, and a significant railway merger [1] - The Dow is slightly down by 12 points, while the S&P 500 is up by 11 points, and the Nasdaq is up by 88 points [1] Railway Merger - Union Pacific (UNP) is set to acquire Norfolk Southern (NSC) for $72 billion, or $320 per share, creating the first trans-continental railroad in the U.S. [2] - The merger requires approval from the Surface Transportation Board, and the current administration may favor the deal despite monopolistic concerns [3] Trade Balance - The Advanced U.S. Trade Balance in Goods for June shows a pullback to -$86 billion, better than expected, driven by a 4.2% decline in imports [4] - This indicates a slowdown in trade due to higher tariff expectations, contrasting with the record-low trade balance of -$162 billion in March 2025 [4] Q2 Earnings Highlights - Boeing (BA) reported a Q2 loss of $1.24 per share, improving by 30 cents over consensus, with revenues of $22.75 billion exceeding estimates by 4.1% [5] - UnitedHealth (UNH) missed earnings expectations with $4.08 per share versus $4.84 expected, while revenues of $111.6 billion slightly beat estimates [6] - Royal Caribbean (RCL) reported earnings of $4.38 per share, surpassing consensus by 6.8%, despite revenues of $4.54 billion missing projections [7] - Spotify (SPOT) reported a loss of $0.48 per share, significantly missing the $2.13 consensus estimate, with revenues of $4.76 billion also falling short [8]

Company Overview - Helsing, a European defense technology startup, has raised 600 million euros ($693.6 million) in a new funding round led by Prima Materia, a venture capital firm founded by Spotify CEO Daniel Ek [1] - Existing investors include Lightspeed Venture Partners, Accel, Plural, General Catalyst, and Saab, with new investments from BDT & MSD Partners [2] Industry Trends - The defense technology sector has become increasingly attractive to investors due to ongoing global conflicts, such as the Ukraine war and the recent escalation in the Middle East [2] - In 2024, venture funding in Europe's defense, security, and resilience sector reached an all-time high of $5.2 billion, marking a 30% growth over the past two years, while the broader VC market experienced a 45% decline during the same period [3]