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Where Will Sandisk Stock Be in 3 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-13 22:45
Core Viewpoint - Sandisk, a spinoff from Western Digital, has seen its stock price surge by 1,400% since the separation, raising questions about its future growth potential in the semiconductor market [1][2]. Company Overview - Sandisk specializes in NAND flash storage solutions for various applications, including smartphones, PCs, tablets, automotive, wearables, and data centers [2]. - The company reported that its edge devices segment, which includes PCs and smartphones, accounted for 55% of its revenue in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with a 63% year-over-year revenue increase to nearly $1.7 billion [4]. Growth Drivers - The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) in the PC and smartphone markets is a significant catalyst for Sandisk's growth, as devices capable of generative AI require higher storage capacities [5]. - Market research firm IDC forecasts that generative AI smartphone shipments will increase from 234 million units in 2024 to 912 million units by 2028, while generative AI PC shipments are expected to rise from over 24 million units in 2024 to 138 million units in 2028 [6]. Data Center Demand - Sandisk is experiencing strong growth in its data center segment, with a 76% year-over-year revenue increase to $440 million, driven by the demand for solid-state drives (SSDs) [9]. - The company is set to recognize revenue from new hyperscaler customers in the upcoming quarters, which is expected to significantly boost its top line [10]. Earnings Growth Potential - The memory market's supply constraints are leading to higher NAND flash memory prices, projected to increase by 55% to 60% in the current quarter [12]. - Sandisk's earnings are expected to see a dramatic increase, with projections of a 1,220% rise to $39.45 per share in the current fiscal year, and a potential earnings increase to over $95 per share by fiscal 2028 [13][15]. Stock Price Outlook - Based on projected earnings and the Nasdaq-100 index's forward earnings multiple of 25, Sandisk's stock price could reach $2,375, representing over four times its current price [16].