NVIDIA B300 graphics processing units (GPUs)
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Can IREN's GPU Expansion Drive $3.7B AI Cloud ARR by 2026?
ZACKS· 2026-03-05 14:46
Core Insights - IREN Limited plans to expand its AI cloud infrastructure by purchasing over 50,000 NVIDIA B300 GPUs, increasing its total GPU fleet to 150,000, which is expected to support over $3.7 billion in annualized run-rate revenues by the end of fiscal 2026 [1][10] Expansion Plans - The additional GPUs will be deployed in phases during the second half of fiscal 2026 and will be installed in existing air-cooled data centers in Mackenzie, British Columbia, and Childress, Texas, allowing for expansion without the need for new data centers [2] - IREN reported approximately $2.3 billion of ARR under contract in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, including a significant agreement with Microsoft and $0.4-$0.5 billion from the Prince George site, indicating a strong starting point for growth [2] Capital Raising Efforts - IREN has raised about $9.3 billion over the past eight months through various means, including customer prepayments and GPU financing, with $3.6 billion secured from Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan in the second quarter [3][10] - The company plans to raise an additional $3.5 billion for new GPU orders in the second half of 2026 to support its AI cloud infrastructure expansion [3] Revenue Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IREN's fiscal 2026 revenues is $984.53 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 93.3%, while the estimate for fiscal 2027 revenues is $2.70 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 173.9% [4] Competitive Landscape - IREN faces significant competition from Applied Digital and TeraWulf in the AI infrastructure sector [5] - Applied Digital is constructing a large AI data center campus, Delta Forge 1, designed to support up to 430 megawatts of power [6] - TeraWulf is expanding its portfolio by acquiring two sites that add about 1.5 GW of power capacity, increasing its total platform size to approximately 2.8 GW [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - IREN's shares have increased by 64% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Financial Miscellaneous Services industry's decline of 26.8% [8] - The company is currently considered overvalued, with a Value Score of F, trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 6.80X compared to the industry's 2.70X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IREN's fiscal 2026 earnings is 38 cents per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase despite a 43.3% decrease over the past 30 days [15]