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Wall Street analyst predicts S&P 500 to hit 9,000 by 2026 in ‘bubble' scenario
Finbold· 2025-10-06 14:47
Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 is projected to rise by approximately 33% by 2026, with a base target of 7,750 and a potential high of 9,000 under a "bubble" scenario [1][3]. Market Performance - As of the latest update, the S&P 500 index was valued at 6,727, reflecting a daily increase of 0.19%, and has surged nearly 50% in 2025 [1]. Analyst Insights - Evercore ISI analyst Julian Emanuel has increased the probability of the S&P 500 reaching 9,000 to 30%, citing signs of accelerating capital market activity following a significant leveraged buyout [3]. - The recent acquisition of Electronic Arts (EA) is highlighted as a pivotal event, drawing parallels to landmark buyouts in 1988 and 2007, which historically led to rapid market rallies but also increased volatility [4]. Investment Strategies - Emanuel suggests that investors should consider hedging strategies, such as Nasdaq put options, to manage potential risks associated with the current market conditions, as the S&P 500 trades significantly above its 50-day and 100-day moving averages [4]. Sector Outlook - Despite caution regarding market pullbacks, there is a bullish outlook on AI-related sectors and "underowned" healthcare stocks, which are seen as tactical opportunities amid easing policy and tariff concerns [5]. Divergent Analyst Opinions - Other analysts, such as Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson, project a more conservative rise to 7,200 by mid-2026, while JPMorgan warns of potential short-term downside risks as equities may reassess valuations with Federal Reserve easing [6].