Wall Street expects flat earnings compared to the year-ago quarter on higher revenues when DT Midstream (DTM) reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 31, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than exp ...

Kinder Morgan TodayKMIKinder Morgan$27.36 -0.53 (-1.88%) 52-Week Range$19.68▼$31.48Dividend Yield4.28%P/E Ratio22.45Price Target$31.00Add to WatchlistKinder Morgan NYSE: KMI is poised to grow robustly over the coming years, at a steady and reliable pace that income investors can appreciate. Growth will be driven by the combination of its expanding natural gas pipeline network and capacity, compounded by increasing demand for these resources. Demand growth, forecast by KMI at 20% through the decade’s end, i ...

Key Takeaways Kinder Morgan reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $0.28, matching estimates and rising from $0.25 a year ago. Revenues rose to $4.04B from $3.57B, driven by strong natural gas demand and segment performance. KMI raised its project backlog to $9.3B and reaffirmed 2025 earnings and dividend guidance.Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of 28 cents, which met the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The bottom line increased year over year from 25 cents.  (Find the la ...

Summary of Kinder Morgan Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Kinder Morgan - **Industry**: Natural Gas and Energy Infrastructure Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - **Natural Gas Demand Growth**: Forecasted growth of natural gas demand is 28 billion cubic feet (BCF) per day, representing a 25% increase over the next four years, which is above consensus estimates [5][6][7] - **Drivers of Growth**: Growth is primarily driven by LNG exports (15-18 BCF per day), incremental power demand, industrial demand, and exports to Mexico [7][8] - **Pipeline Capacity**: Existing pipeline systems are highly utilized, with significant price increases in storage services noted [8] - **Backlog of Projects**: Kinder Morgan has an $8.8 billion backlog, with 90% related to natural gas, largely backed by take-or-pay contracts [9][10] Demand Drivers - **LNG Exports**: LNG export facilities require pipeline capacity, leading to increased demand for upstream connections [12][13] - **Power Demand**: 50% of Kinder Morgan's backlog is associated with power demand, driven by population migration, industrial growth, and coal retirements [17][18][21] - **Geographic Focus**: 85% of expected natural gas demand growth is in the Southern and Southeastern United States [21] Financial Performance and Strategy - **Revenue Sources**: 64% of EBITDA comes from take-or-pay contracts, with 26% from fee-for-service businesses, indicating low sensitivity to commodity prices [25][26] - **Capital Allocation**: Maintenance capital is around $1 billion, with growth CapEx at approximately $2.5 billion. The company aims to maintain and modestly grow dividends while investing in high-return projects [76][77] - **Debt Management**: Net debt to EBITDA is targeted at 3.5 to 4.5 times, with a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet [78][79] Regulatory Environment - **Permitting Process**: The federal permitting process is improving, with recent regulatory changes aimed at expediting permits [33][34][36] - **Judicial Challenges**: There is a need for clarity in the judicial process regarding permit challenges, which can impact project timelines [37][39] Growth Opportunities - **M&A Strategy**: Kinder Morgan maintains a strong appetite for mergers and acquisitions, focusing on stable fee-based assets that meet specific criteria [49][50] - **Technological Advancements**: The company is exploring AI applications to enhance operational efficiency and decision-making [52][54] Refined Products and CO2 Business - **Refined Products Outlook**: Demand for refined products is expected to stabilize, with a modest price increase due to tariff escalators, despite a slight volume decline [56][59] - **CO2 Business**: Kinder Morgan's CO2 business involves enhanced oil recovery methods, contributing to 9% of overall business, with a focus on existing infrastructure [61][66] Conclusion - **Investment Proposition**: Kinder Morgan offers stable cash flow backed by long-term contracts, an attractive dividend, and a significant project backlog, positioning the company for growth in the natural gas sector [87][88]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $280 million for Q1 2025, an increase of $45 million from the previous quarter [13] - The pipeline segment results were $39 million higher than Q4 2024, reflecting a full quarter contribution from acquired interstate pipelines [13] - Gathering segment results increased by $6 million compared to Q4 2024, driven by lower expenses and growing volumes in the Haynesville [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total gathering volumes in the Haynesville averaged 1.67 Bcf per day, an increase from the previous quarter due to new volumes and the return of offline production [13] - In the Northeast, volumes averaged 1.3 Bcf per day, a decrease from the previous quarter due to timing of producer activity [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter of 2025 experienced significant market volatility, with natural gas prices rising due to cold weather in January, followed by a decline as markets adjusted to tariff announcements [8] - Total U.S. natural gas supply and demand are expected to grow by approximately 19 Bcf per day through 2030, primarily driven by LNG exports and utility-scale power generation [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a $2.3 billion organic growth project backlog and integrating newly acquired interstate pipelines [6][9] - There is a strong emphasis on the long-term outlook for natural gas infrastructure, with expected demand growth from LNG exports and industrial onshoring [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in reaffirming 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance and early outlook for 2026, citing a durable contract structure and minimal commodity exposure [9][15] - The company remains optimistic about the Haynesville activity and expects continued ramp-up throughout the year [22] Other Important Information - The company announced a first-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, unchanged from the prior quarter, with a commitment to grow the dividend by 5% to 7% per year [15] - Management highlighted the positive political and regulatory support for natural gas and energy infrastructure, which is expected to benefit the sector [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Gathering volumes in Q1 - Management noted that the uptick in Haynesville volumes aligns with large public producers and increased activity from private producers [21] Question: Data center projects - Management confirmed ongoing commercial conversations for data center power demand and utility-scale power generation projects [26] Question: Millennium pipeline open season - Management indicated strong interest in incremental capacity and the potential for synergies with existing assets [32][34] Question: Impact of tariffs on propane prices - Management stated that very little of their Appalachian gathering footprint is exposed to the wet side of the Marcellus or NGL side of the Utica, viewing it as a non-risk [98] Question: Confidence in 2025 and 2026 guidance - Management emphasized the durability of their portfolio, with no commodity exposure and minimal volumetric exposure, contributing to their confidence [106][108] Question: Changes in demand for power due to data center spending - Management reported robust demand for both site-specific and utility-scale power generation, with ongoing projects advancing [113][116]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company reported adjusted EBITDA of $280 million, an increase of $45 million from the previous quarter [11] - The pipeline segment results were $39 million higher than Q4 2024, reflecting a full quarter contribution from acquired interstate pipelines [11] - Gathering segment results increased by $6 million compared to Q4 2024, driven by lower overall expenses and growing volumes in the Haynesville [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total gathering volumes in the Haynesville averaged 1.67 Bcf per day, an increase from the previous quarter due to new volumes and the return of offline production [11] - In the Northeast, volumes averaged 1.3 Bcf per day, a decrease from the previous quarter due to timing of producer activity [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The first quarter of 2025 experienced significant market volatility, with natural gas prices rising due to cold weather in January, followed by a decline as markets adjusted to tariff announcements [6] - Total U.S. natural gas supply and demand are expected to grow by approximately 19 Bcf per day through 2030, primarily driven by LNG exports and utility-scale power generation [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a $2.3 billion organic growth project backlog and integrating newly acquired interstate pipelines [5] - The company remains bullish about the long-term outlook for natural gas infrastructure, supported by growing demand from LNG exports and utility-scale power generation [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in reaffirming 2025 and 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance, citing a durable contract structure and minimal commodity exposure [7] - The company highlighted the positive political and regulatory support for natural gas infrastructure, recognizing the need for streamlined processes to build necessary infrastructure [9] Other Important Information - The company announced a first-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, unchanged from the prior quarter, with a commitment to grow the dividend by 5% to 7% per year [13] - The company is currently investment grade with Fitch ratings and on a positive outlook with Moody's and S&P [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Gathering volumes in Q1 - Management noted that the uptick in Haynesville volumes aligns with large public producers' activity, while private producers have also become more active [20] Question: Update on data center projects - Management confirmed ongoing advanced commercial conversations for data center power demand and utility-scale power generation projects [24] Question: Outlook on Millennium project - Management indicated strong interest in incremental capacity and noted that the Millennium pipeline is well-positioned to meet market demands [32] Question: Local and state-level energy infrastructure sentiment - Management observed a shift in sentiment among utilities and stakeholders, recognizing the need for reliable energy supply [40] Question: LNG demand and Woodside FID - Management expressed optimism about expansion opportunities stemming from Woodside's FID, which includes a header system connected to the company's assets [44] Question: Backlog and CapEx guidance - Management reassured that the backlog is growing and highlighted several projects progressing towards FID [88] Question: Impact of China tariffs on propane prices - Management clarified that the company has minimal exposure to the wet side of the Marcellus and views potential ethane rejection as an opportunity rather than a risk [96][98] Question: Confidence in navigating macro uncertainty - Management emphasized the durability of the portfolio, with no commodity exposure and a strong balance sheet, allowing confidence in meeting 2025 and 2026 goals [104][106] Question: Data center demand and utility-scale generation - Management reported robust underlying demand for both site-specific and utility-scale power generation, with ongoing projects advancing towards commercialization [112][114]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for DT Midstream, driven by higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - DT Midstream is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.07 per share, reflecting an 8.1% increase year-over-year [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $283.86 million, indicating an 18.3% rise from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.67% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for DT Midstream is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Earnings ESP for DT Midstream is +0.84%, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, DT Midstream exceeded the expected earnings of $0.91 per share, achieving $0.94, resulting in a surprise of +3.30% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - DT Midstream is positioned as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [16].