Gabelli's 49th Annual Auto Symposium NOVEMBER 4, 2025 Safe Harbor This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. MP Materials Corp. (the "Company," "we," "us" and "our") intend such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-l ...

Core Insights - MP Materials and Energy Fuels are positioned to be key players in the U.S. rare earth and critical minerals supply chain [1] Company Overview - MP Materials, based in Las Vegas, NV, is the largest producer of rare earth materials in the Western Hemisphere, with a market capitalization of $13.7 billion [2] - Energy Fuels, located in Lakewood, CO, has a market capitalization of $3.99 billion and is a leading producer of natural uranium concentrates [3] Financial Performance - MP Materials reported a revenue increase of 84% year-over-year to $57.4 million in Q2 2025, with NdPr production up 119% and REO production up 45% [5][11] - Energy Fuels experienced a revenue decline of 52% year-over-year to $4.2 million in Q2 due to lower uranium sales volumes [10][11] Strategic Developments - MP Materials secured a long-term agreement with Apple to supply rare earth magnets made from recycled materials and partnered with the U.S. Department of Defense to develop a domestic rare earth magnet supply chain [8][9] - Energy Fuels is diversifying into rare earths by producing high-purity separated rare earth oxide NdPr at its White Mesa mill [3][13] Production and Capacity - MP Materials is ramping up production and expects to construct a second domestic magnet manufacturing facility, increasing U.S. rare earth magnet manufacturing capacity to 10,000 metric tons [9] - Energy Fuels is developing significant rare earth element capabilities, with projects in Australia, Madagascar, and Brazil that could supply REE oxides to U.S. and European manufacturers [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MP Materials' fiscal 2025 earnings is a loss of 34 cents per share, with an expected profit of 91 cents per share in fiscal 2026 [16] - Energy Fuels' fiscal 2025 earnings estimate is a loss of 33 cents per share, with a projected profit of one cent per share in fiscal 2026 [16] Stock Performance - MP Materials stock has surged 394.5% year-to-date, outperforming Energy Fuels' 236.5% gain [19] - MP Materials is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 26.82X, while Energy Fuels is at 38.11X [20] Investment Outlook - MP Materials is seen as a more compelling choice for long-term growth in critical minerals due to its production gains, partnerships, and strategic importance [21][22] - Energy Fuels offers exposure to both uranium and rare earths, but MP Materials has an edge in price performance and earnings momentum [22]

Project Overview - The Nolans Project has a mine life of over 38 years and is expected to produce 4,440 tonnes per annum (tpa) of NdPr oxide[17] - The project's capital expenditure (Capex) is estimated at US$1226 million, including contingency, with a post-tax NPV8 of US$1729 million (base) and US$2549 million (incentive)[18] - The project is strategically located with access to critical infrastructure and is considered a nation-building initiative with potential for a Phase 2 Processing Hub[20] Market and Demand - By 2035, the market will require an additional supply of over 60kt of NdPr oxide[37] - Demand is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7% from 2024 to 2035, driven by the transition to a low-carbon economy[37] - Robotics is an emerging thematic, with a CAGR of approximately 22% between 2024 and 2035, forecasting a US$5 trillion market by 2050[37] Funding and Offtake - Conditional credit approvals have been received for over US$1 billion in debt finance for the Nolans Project[56] - The company has secured binding offtake agreements for 2,320 tpa of NdPr Oxide, representing 66% of its binding offtake target, with Hyundai & Kia (1,500 tpa), Siemens Gamesa RE (520 tpa), and Traxys Europe S A (300 tpa)[53] - The company is targeting 80% of planned production as binding offtake, with total planned production being 4,440 tpa of NdPr oxide[54] Financials and Economics - The project economics are robust, with a post-tax NPV8 of US$1729 million and an IRR after tax of 172% under the base case[71] - Under an incentive pricing scenario, the NPV8 increases to US$2549 million and the IRR to 206%[71] - The operating cost is projected to be US$437 per kg of NdPr, falling to below US$30 per kg net of phosphoric acid by-product credits[71]

Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue was $574 million, compared to $313 million in Q2 2024 [13] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was -$125 million, compared to -$271 million in Q2 2024 [13] - Adjusted diluted EPS for Q2 2025 was -$013, compared to -$017 in Q2 2024 [13] Materials Segment - Record NdPr oxide production of 597 metric tons in Q2 2025, a 119% year-over-year increase [11] - REO production volumes increased to 13145 metric tons in Q2 2025 from 9084 metric tons in Q2 2024 [17] - NdPr sales volumes were 443 metric tons in Q2 2025, compared to 136 metric tons in Q2 2024 [17] - Materials Segment revenue was $375 million in Q2 2025, compared to $313 million in Q2 2024 [21] - Materials Segment Adjusted EBITDA was -$127 million in Q2 2025, compared to -$176 million in Q2 2024 [21] Magnetics Segment - Magnetics Segment revenue was $199 million in Q2 2025 [21] - Magnetics Segment Adjusted EBITDA was $81 million in Q2 2025 [21]

Project Overview - Arafura Rare Earths is developing the world's most advanced construction-ready rare earths project, offering a non-China alternative [1] - The Nolans Project has a mine life of over 38 years and is strategically located with access to existing infrastructure [28, 31, 47] - The project is construction-ready with environmental permits and approvals in place, and over US$40 million has been spent on site works to de-risk the project schedule [35] Financials and Funding - The project's NPV8 after tax is estimated at US$1,729 million (base) and US$2,549 million (incentive) [30] - The company is targeting 60% of equity funding through Cornerstone Investors [40] - Over US$1 billion of debt and completion support has been conditionally approved [40, 48] - NRFC has committed to a A$200 million investment [48] - KfW has an investment of US$113 million subject to conditions [40, 41] Market and Demand - The rare earth magnet exports to the US experienced a 93.3% year-on-year decline in May 2025 [13] - Demand for NdPr oxide is projected to grow at a 7% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, requiring an additional supply of nearly 60kt by 2035 [17] - Robotics is an emerging thematic with a CAGR of approximately 22% between 2024 and 2035, with humanoids forecast to be a US$5 Trillion market by 2050 [17] Production and Cost - The Nolans Project is projected to produce 4,440 tpa of NdPr oxide [28, 47] - The project is expected to be in the first quartile of the cost curve [29, 48] - The project will produce 573 tpa of SEG/HRE Oxide [29]