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Don't Buy Lumen Technologies Stock Until Reality Backs Up the Hype
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 06:47
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies, formerly CenturyLink, is undergoing a rebranding and strategic pivot towards artificial intelligence (AI), achieving a 38% stock increase through December 22, outperforming the S&P 500's 17% gain [1][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Lumen's stock has recently performed well, but prospective investors are advised to wait for the company's reality to align with the current hype before investing [2]. - The company has secured significant partnerships with major firms like Microsoft and Alphabet, positioning itself as a key networking provider amid rising AI infrastructure spending [4]. Group 2: Financial Health - Lumen carries over $17.5 billion in long-term debt, which exceeds its market cap of nearly $8 billion, raising concerns about its financial stability [7]. - The company reported a loss of $621 million in Q3 on revenues of $3.08 billion, indicating it is depleting cash reserves faster than its AI initiatives are generating returns [8]. - Management does not anticipate returning to revenue growth until 2028, highlighting the challenges of transitioning from a legacy business model to a high-growth industry while managing substantial debt [10][11]. Group 3: Strategic Outlook - While Lumen aims to be the "backbone of the AI economy," investors are cautioned to wait for evidence of sustained profitability and debt reduction before fully embracing this vision [12].