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LUMN Stock Up 334% in 12 Months: Can AI Wins Sustain the Trajectory?
ZACKS· 2025-07-07 14:31
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) has experienced a significant stock surge of 334% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 and its peers in the communications sector [1][9] - The company is focusing on growth through AI, cloud services, and network-as-a-service (NaaS) solutions, securing $8.5 billion in Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) deals with major tech companies [9][10] Company Overview - Lumen, based in Monroe, LA, provides a wide range of integrated products and services to clients in business and mass markets, leveraging its extensive terrestrial and subsea fiber optic network across multiple regions [3] - The company operates in over 60 countries, with a significant portion of its revenue generated in the United States [3] Strategic Goals for 2025 - Lumen aims to achieve strong financial targets in revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow by enhancing operational excellence, establishing a foundation for the AI economy, and transforming telecom economics [4][5] - The company plans to streamline its network and product offerings, reducing complexity and improving customer experience [4][12] Technological Advancements - Lumen's new multi-cloud, AI-ready network architecture is designed to reduce costs and latency by minimizing cross-connects and ports, enabling seamless connectivity for enterprises [6] - The company is also advancing its Digital platform with NaaS solutions that provide customizable connectivity and enhanced data security [10] Financial Outlook - For 2025, Lumen expects adjusted EBITDA to be between $3.2 billion and $3.4 billion, reflecting challenges from legacy business declines and transformation costs [13] - Capital spending is projected at $4.1 billion to $4.3 billion, with free cash flow anticipated between $700 million and $900 million [13] Competitive Positioning - Lumen's valuation is attractive, trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.35, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.57 [15] - The company faces competition from major players like Verizon, AT&T, and T-Mobile, which have higher trading multiples [16] Future Prospects - Lumen is targeting $1 billion in savings by 2027 through network and product streamlining, with expectations of $250 million in cost savings in the current year [12][17] - The company is positioned for long-term growth in AI and telecom, despite facing macroeconomic uncertainties and legacy revenue challenges [17]
Why Lumen Technologies Stock Was Winning This Week
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-27 03:04
Network reliability is crucial for any telecom company; it nearly goes without saying. This is a major reason why investors were happy to snap up shares of Lumen Technologies (LUMN 1.17%) -- after the company detailed its preparations for emergency situations, its stock was trading up by more than 10% in price as of Thursday evening, according to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence.Ready for the worstLumen laid out those plans in a press release it published Monday morning. Across its rather spr ...
Lumen Technologies Finally Has Room To Breathe (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-24 18:50
Group 1 - The article updates the analysis on Lumen Technologies, Inc. following the confirmation of the AT&T deal, indicating a shift in the investment outlook [1] - The previous rating for Lumen was a hold, based on the assessment of market reactions to news and the importance of cash flow for both companies and investors [1] Group 2 - Michael Dion, an FP&A leader with diverse industry experience, emphasizes the significance of strong fundamentals and dividends in investment decisions [1] - The investment approach focuses on identifying value opportunities where market reactions may be disproportionate to the actual news [1]
Lumen Technologies: Deleveraging And AI, A Speculative Setup With Asymmetric Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-24 17:46
"Price is what you pay, value is what you get"If you like my investment approach, you can buy my book ("The Most Boring Stock Investment Book") or join my newsletter ("Beating The Tide").Here is my free unsolicited advice:1. Save 10% of whatever you make, no matter how insignificant it can be. As a young engineer, I saved 10% of my income no matter if it was $10 or $1,000. PAYING YOURSELF is the best piece of advice you can give anyone. I recommend the book 'The Richest Man in Babylon', it is a bit repetiti ...
Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Earnings Call Presentation
2025-06-24 11:21
Lumen Corporate Overview March 2025 1 © 2025 Lumen Technologies. All Rights Reserved. Who is Lumen Technologies Lumen is a networking company connecting people, data, and applications — quickly, securely, and effortlessly. We are unleashing the world's digital potential with our vast network and innovative services. 2 © 2025 Lumen Technologies. All Rights Reserved. Our brands Networking for enterprise and public sector Fiber-based internet for residential and small business Copper-based services for residen ...
Lumen Stock Soars on Powering the JUNO Trans-Pacific Cable System
ZACKS· 2025-06-04 17:11
Core Insights - Undersea cables are essential for global communication, carrying over 99% of international data traffic, with Lumen Technologies selected to provide terrestrial backhaul for the JUNO Trans-Pacific Cable System, which will connect Japan and the U.S. with high capacity [1][10] - The JUNO cable system spans 10,000 kilometers and utilizes Space Division Multiplexing technology, offering a total capacity of up to 350 terabits per second (Tbps), catering to the increasing demand for high-speed connectivity [3][10] - Lumen's advanced dark fiber backhaul solution connects key locations in the U.S., enhancing control, security, and scalability for the JUNO system, which is crucial for the digital economy [4][5] Financial Performance - Following the announcement of the JUNO project, Lumen's shares increased by 6.75%, closing at $4.11 on June 3, 2025 [2] - For 2025, Lumen anticipates adjusted EBITDA between $3.2 billion and $3.4 billion, with capital spending projected at $4.1 billion to $4.3 billion, expecting a rebound in EBITDA above $3.5 billion by 2026 [8] - Lumen secured $8.5 billion in Private Connectivity Fabric (PCF) deals in 2024, driven by the rising demand for AI technologies, indicating strong future revenue potential [7][10] Industry Impact - The integration of the JUNO cable and Lumen's terrestrial backbone is expected to foster innovation and economic growth, facilitating real-time collaboration and cloud computing on a global scale [5][6] - The demand for Lumen's connectivity solutions is being driven by major tech players like Microsoft, Amazon, Google Cloud, and Meta, highlighting the strategic importance of Lumen in the AI infrastructure landscape [7][10] - Lumen's role in providing essential connectivity services positions it favorably within the rapidly evolving data-centric economy [5][7]
Lumen Technologies, Inc. (LUMN) TD Cowen 53rd Annual Technology, Media & Telecom Conference - (Transcript)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-29 01:53
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies has announced a unique deal structure with AT&T, which is described as a first of its kind and potentially the last of its kind in the industry [3]. Group 1: Deal Structure and Strategy - The deal was structured to focus on the value of fiber for the consumer side, which is seen as the go-forward strategy and a key asset of interest for buyers [3]. - The company retains a significant number of wire centers for its enterprise business, which will allow for direct connections to the cloud [3]. - The footprint of the retained assets generates substantial enterprise EBITDA, along with healthy consumer copper EBITDA from rural areas that are unlikely to see fiber development in the near future [3].
Lumen(LUMN) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-28 18:50
Lumen Technologies (LUMN) FY 2025 Conference May 28, 2025 01:50 PM ET Speaker0 Started? Good afternoon. Welcome to day one of our fifty third annual TMT TD Cowen conference. My name is Greg Williams. I cover cable, wireless, and telco here at TD Cowen. I'm joined in this session by Chris Stansberry, the CFO of Lumen Technologies. Chris, thanks for joining us. Speaker1 Yeah, great to be here. Speaker0 I want to start off with the AT and T deal that was announced last week. This deal structure is very unique. ...
Lumen: Climbing Out Of The 'Junk Yard,' A Fair Value Upgrade
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-22 18:28
Core Insights - The article discusses the author's background in value investing and experience in private credit and commercial real estate (CRE) financing, highlighting a focus on classical value ratios for portfolio selection [1] Company and Industry Analysis - The author has worked with prominent CRE developers such as The Witkoff Group, Kushner Companies, Durst Organization, and Fortress Investment Group, indicating a strong network and expertise in the real estate sector [1]
5 Things To Consider After Lumen's Mass Markets Fiber Asset Sale To AT&T
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-22 17:15
Core Insights - Lumen Technologies shares have increased following a deal with AT&T, which announced its intention to purchase Lumen's mass markets after the stock market closed on May 21, 2025 [1] Group 1 - Lumen Technologies shares peaked at $10.33 in November 2024 [1] - The announcement of the acquisition by AT&T has positively impacted Lumen's stock performance [1]