Newsmax TV
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Is Newsmax Stock a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-06 10:25
Core Viewpoint - Newsmax, a conservative media company, has experienced significant volatility in its stock price and market cap, facing challenges such as legal battles and competition, while exploring new revenue streams and potential growth catalysts [1][3][13] Company Overview - Newsmax went public at $10 in March, with its stock reaching a peak of $233 shortly after, leading to a market cap of $29 billion, which was 170 times its 2024 revenue of $171 million [2][3] - Founded in 1998, Newsmax launched Newsmax TV in 2014 and initially provided its channel for free to expand its audience [3][5] Financial Performance - As of 2023, Newsmax's revenue was $135 million, with net losses increasing from $20 million in 2022 to $92 million in the first half of 2025 [7] - The company has shifted from a free-to-air model to charging carriage fees, but faced challenges when DirecTV dropped it, leading to reduced fees to retain other partners [7][6] Legal Challenges - Newsmax has faced defamation lawsuits from Smartmatic and Dominion, resulting in settlements of $40 million and $67 million respectively, contributing to its widening net losses [6][7] Growth Projections - Analysts project a revenue CAGR of 11% from 2024 to 2027, reaching $232 million, with expectations of profitability by 2027 [8] - Potential catalysts for growth include an antitrust case against Fox News, promotion through Trump Media's Truth+ platform, and increased viewership during the 2026 U.S. midterm elections [9][10][11] Strategic Initiatives - Newsmax plans to invest up to $5 million in Bitcoin and Trump Coin, representing 15% of its cash reserves, to strengthen its balance sheet [12] Investment Considerations - With a current market cap of $1.3 billion, Newsmax's valuation at 7 times this year's sales suggests it may not be an attractive investment compared to better-managed companies in the market [13]