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商贸零售行业深度报告:多场景需求打开消费级脑机接口市场空间
Xiangcai Securities· 2026-03-31 13:11
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [3] Core Insights - The consumer-grade brain-computer interface (BCI) market is in its early stages, facing challenges such as technology maturity, ethical regulations, cost control, and validation of real demand [3][5] - Strict regulations and policy incentives coexist, with various regions showing different attitudes towards policy. In China, while the review policies are strict, there are also many supportive policies for the development of the BCI industry [4][34] - The consumer scenarios are diverse, with a focus on real market demand. In 2023, non-medical sectors accounted for about 44% of China's BCI downstream solution companies, indicating significant long-term growth potential [5][57] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The relative performance over the past 12 months shows a decline of 13.6% compared to the CSI 300 index, with an absolute return of 2.0% [3] BCI Technology Overview - BCI technology connects the human brain with external devices, transitioning from laboratory research to industrial application. Non-invasive technologies are relatively mature but limited by signal quality, while invasive technologies offer better performance but face high safety and ethical barriers [3][30] Regulatory Environment - The regulatory landscape for BCI is characterized by strict oversight and supportive policies. In China, BCI devices are classified under medical device regulations, with varying levels of scrutiny based on their risk classification [34][35] Market Potential - The global BCI market size grew from $1.2 billion in 2019 to nearly $2 billion in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 13% [53] - The Chinese BCI market is expected to grow at an average annual rate of about 20% from 2024 to 2028, driven by medical rehabilitation, consumer health management, and industrial safety monitoring [56][57] Investment Recommendations - In the consumer sector, the report recommends focusing on companies that have achieved mass production of consumer-grade BCI products and have clear revenue contributions. Additionally, attention should be given to companies with core capabilities in AI decoding algorithms and those with comprehensive industry chain layouts [6]