Workflow
Nickel intermediate
icon
Search documents
华友钴业_花旗 2025 中国峰会新动态_2026 年硫酸锂项目投产助力锂成本下降
花旗· 2025-11-24 01:46
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb51.40, implying a potential downside of 21.7% from the current price of Rmb65.610 [6][8]. Core Insights - The lithium output for Huayou Cobalt is projected to increase from 35kt in the first nine months of 2025 to 60-80kt in 2026 due to the ramp-up of the lithium sulfate project in Zimbabwe. The comprehensive production cost for lithium is currently less than Rmb70k/t LCE and is expected to decrease by Rmb10k/t LCE post ramp-up [2][4]. - Nickel intermediate output is not expected to see significant year-over-year growth in 2026, as both Huayue and Huafei projects have achieved over 100% capacity utilization. The Pomalaa project is anticipated to commence operations by the end of 2026 [3]. - Cobalt output primarily comes from MHP projects in Indonesia, with expectations of strong cobalt prices due to quota policies in the DRC, although increased output from Indonesian projects may exert long-term price pressure [4]. - NCM cathode sales volume reached approximately 70kt in the first nine months of 2025, representing an 80% year-over-year increase, with expectations to reach around 100kt in 2025 [5]. Summary by Sections Lithium - Lithium output is expected to rise significantly in 2026 due to the lithium sulfate project ramp-up, with production costs projected to decrease [2]. Nickel - Nickel output is stable with no significant increase expected in 2026, and the Pomalaa project is set to begin operations by year-end 2026 [3]. Cobalt - Cobalt prices are expected to remain strong due to policy impacts, but increased output from Indonesia may create long-term price pressures [4]. Cathode - NCM cathode sales are on a strong upward trajectory, with significant growth expected in 2025 [5].