Nuuly(subscription rental business)

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Urban Outfitters Hits a New 52-Week High: What's Next for Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 16:06
Core Insights - Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) shares reached a 52-week high of $75.57, closing at $75.26, with a year-to-date stock rally of 37.1% compared to a 12.3% decline in the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry [1] - The company's strategic initiatives and operational efficiencies have allowed it to outperform the broader Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 index, which saw growth of 0.6% and a decline of 1.8%, respectively [1] Stock Performance - URBN is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) of $53.43 and $47.65, indicating a continued uptrend and positive market sentiment [4] - The stock's strong performance is supported by sustained momentum and investor confidence in URBN's financial health and growth prospects [4] Strategic Growth Initiatives - URBN's strategic approach balances innovation with operational excellence, allowing the company to shape industry shifts rather than merely react to them [6] - The diversified brand portfolio and data-informed expansion strategy are advancing in high-growth areas while reinforcing core strengths [6] Operational Efficiency - In Q1 of fiscal 2026, URBN achieved a gross margin expansion of 278 basis points due to favorable cost shifts and sustainable operational enhancements [7] - Logistics initiatives, such as reducing package numbers per order and transitioning shipments from air to sea, have led to significant delivery expense leverage [8] Brand Performance - Each of URBN's brands, particularly Anthropologie and Free People, is showing notable strength, with Anthropologie achieving 10 consecutive quarters of double-digit operating profit growth [9] - Free People and FP Movement are key growth drivers, with FP Movement posting 29% total sales growth in the fiscal first quarter [10] Future Outlook - URBN anticipates high-single-digit growth across total sales for the fiscal second quarter, with mid-single-digit growth in the Retail segment and low-double-digit growth in the Wholesale segment [11] - The subscription rental business, Nuuly, is expected to deliver mid-double-digit revenue growth, supported by an increase in active subscribers [11] Valuation Metrics - URBN is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 1.15, below the industry average of 1.76 and the sector average of 1.59, indicating potential for investors [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for URBN's earnings has been revised upward, indicating year-over-year growth of 20% for the current fiscal year and 8.7% for the next fiscal year [15] Investment Appeal - URBN is characterized as a strong value pick, backed by disciplined operations, diversified growth channels, and consistent brand performance [18] - Positive earnings revisions and attractive valuation further highlight URBN's investment appeal, making it a compelling choice for long-term growth-focused investors [18]