The market expects Urban Outfitters (URBN) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended October 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if ...

Core Insights - The Retail-Wholesale sector is expected to show growth in sales and earnings, influenced by consumer sentiment and spending trends [1][2] - The sector anticipates a year-over-year top-line growth of 6.2% and a bottom-line increase of 15.3% for the third quarter [2] - Companies with earnings beat potential have been identified, including Dollar General, Burlington Stores, Urban Outfitters, and TJX Companies [3] Sector Performance - Retail earnings are expected to reflect changing consumer spending patterns, with a shift towards essentials and value-oriented products due to inflation [4] - Persistent inflation continues to impact consumer budgets, leading to lower demand in discretionary categories [5] - The back-to-school season and early holiday promotions may help sustain sales in apparel, electronics, and personal care categories [5] Operational Challenges - Services and labor costs, particularly in logistics and staffing, are affecting operating margins [6] - Retailers focusing on strategic pricing and supply-chain management are better positioned to maintain market share [6] E-commerce Growth - The growth of e-commerce, supported by improved delivery times and AI-driven recommendations, is crucial for retail success [7] - Companies investing in online shopping experiences and loyalty programs gain a competitive advantage [7] Inventory Management - Efficient inventory management is key to retail profitability, with advanced analytics helping optimize stock levels [8] - Supply-chain complexities pose risks that may limit the benefits of improved demand planning [8] Company-Specific Insights - **Dollar General**: Zacks Rank 2, Earnings ESP of +12.31%, with a consensus estimate of $0.95 EPS, indicating a 6.7% increase year-over-year [10][12] - **Burlington Stores**: Zacks Rank 3, Earnings ESP of +3.24%, with a consensus estimate of $1.59 EPS, suggesting a 2.6% increase year-over-year [13][14] - **Urban Outfitters**: Zacks Rank 3, Earnings ESP of +6.24%, with a consensus estimate of $1.19 EPS, indicating an 8.2% increase year-over-year [15][16] - **TJX Companies**: Zacks Rank 3, Earnings ESP of +2.87%, with a consensus estimate of $1.22 EPS, suggesting a 7% increase year-over-year [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - Urban Outfitters (URBN) has experienced significant selling pressure, resulting in a 15.1% decline in stock price over the past four weeks, but analysts anticipate better earnings than previously predicted, indicating potential for recovery [1]. Group 1: Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is utilized to determine if URBN is oversold, with a current RSI reading of 25.66, suggesting that the stock may be nearing a reversal point [2][5]. - Stocks oscillate between overbought and oversold conditions, and the RSI helps identify potential entry opportunities for investors looking to benefit from price rebounds [3]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - Analysts have shown strong consensus in raising earnings estimates for URBN, with a 0% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating potential price appreciation [7]. - URBN holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, which further supports the likelihood of a near-term turnaround [8].

Group 1: Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) - The company is a consumer products retailer and wholesaler with a Zacks Rank 1 [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 5.9% over the last 60 days [1] - Urban Outfitters has a PEG ratio of 1.07, which is lower than the industry average of 1.65 [1] - The company possesses a Growth Score of B [1] Group 2: Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) - The company specializes in memory and storage products and holds a Zacks Rank 1 [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 27.1% over the last 60 days [2] - Micron Technology has a PEG ratio of 0.42, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.41 [2] - The company possesses a Growth Score of A [2] Group 3: Western Digital Corporation (WDC) - The company focuses on data storage devices and solutions and carries a Zacks Rank 1 [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 2.2% over the last 60 days [3] - Western Digital has a PEG ratio of 0.91, compared to the industry average of 2.20 [3] - The company possesses a Growth Score of B [3]

Core Viewpoint - Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) is considered one of the most undervalued retail stocks, with analysts maintaining a positive outlook despite varying ratings and price targets from different firms [1][2]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Wells Fargo maintained a Hold rating on Urban Outfitters and set a price target of $75.00 [1]. - UBS raised its price target for Urban Outfitters from $78 to $79, maintaining a Neutral rating, citing a solid Q2 performance and positive Q3 guidance [2]. - The current analyst consensus for Urban Outfitters is a Moderate Buy, with a median price target of $73.19, indicating a potential upside of 12.04% from current levels [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - Urban Outfitters operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Nuuly [3]. - The Retail segment includes its store and digital channels, managing brands such as Anthropologie, Free People, FP Movement, and Urban Outfitters [3]. - The Nuuly segment consists of the Nuuly brand, which features Nuuly Thrift and Nuuly Rent, a monthly women's apparel subscription rental service [3].

Core Insights - The stock market's recent rally contrasts sharply with the underlying macroeconomic conditions, as consumers express concerns over inflation and potential job cuts, while the Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The stock market rally is not aligned with the macroeconomic reality, indicating a potential disconnect between market performance and economic fundamentals [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in both Wall Street technology coverage and Silicon Valley, providing insights into current industry trends [1] - He has been a contributor to Seeking Alpha since 2017 and has been featured in various web publications, indicating a strong presence in financial analysis [1]

Market Overview - The stock market has experienced a sharp rally, which contrasts with the underlying macroeconomic conditions [1] - Consumers are expressing concerns regarding inflation and potential job cuts [1] - The Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates [1] Analyst Background - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley [1] - He has served as an adviser to several seed-round startups and has been a contributor on Seeking Alpha since 2017 [1] - His insights are frequently quoted in various web publications and his articles are syndicated to popular trading apps like Robinhood [1]

Core Viewpoint - Growth stocks are appealing due to their potential for above-average financial growth, but identifying those that can fulfill their potential is challenging [1] Group 1: Growth Stock Characteristics - The Zacks Growth Style Score helps identify promising growth stocks by analyzing real growth prospects beyond traditional metrics [2] - Urban Outfitters (URBN) is highlighted as a recommended stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] Group 2: Earnings Growth - Earnings growth is crucial for attracting investor attention, with double-digit growth seen as a strong indicator of future stock price gains [3] - Urban Outfitters has a historical EPS growth rate of 49.2%, with projected EPS growth of 29% this year, significantly outperforming the industry average of 12.1% [4] Group 3: Cash Flow Growth - High cash flow growth is essential for growth-oriented companies, allowing them to fund new projects without relying on external financing [5] - Urban Outfitters currently has a year-over-year cash flow growth of 22%, compared to an industry average of -3.2% [5] - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 9.1%, exceeding the industry average of 7.6% [6] Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - Positive trends in earnings estimate revisions correlate strongly with near-term stock price movements [7] - Urban Outfitters has seen upward revisions in current-year earnings estimates, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 0.9% over the past month [8] Group 5: Conclusion - Urban Outfitters has achieved a Growth Score of A and a Zacks Rank 2, indicating its potential as an outperformer and a solid choice for growth investors [10]

Core Insights - Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) has demonstrated strong momentum entering the third quarter of fiscal 2026, supported by record second-quarter results and brand strength across its portfolio [1][11] - Management is confident in achieving high-single-digit total sales growth for the fiscal third quarter and maintaining solid progress for the remainder of the fiscal year [1] Retail Segment Performance - Comparable sales in the Retail segment are expected to rise in the mid-single-digit range, driven by growth at Anthropologie, Free People, and Urban Outfitters [2] - The Nuuly subscription business is forecasted to deliver mid-double-digit revenue growth, supported by continued subscriber additions [2] - The Wholesale segment is projected to post mid-single-digit revenue gains [2] Profitability and Margins - URBN anticipates that the gross profit margin for the fiscal third quarter will be flat compared to the prior year, with lower initial product margins due to higher tariffs offsetting positive impacts from reduced markdowns and improved occupancy leverage [3] - For fiscal 2026, URBN expects a gross margin improvement of 100 basis points from the prior year, with approximately 50 basis points of that improvement occurring in the second half [5][11] Expenses and Investments - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses are projected to rise slightly faster than sales, primarily due to increased marketing investments for Nuuly and Anthropologie, as well as a pre-holiday promotional push [4] - SG&A expenses for the year are anticipated to grow in line with sales, driven by marketing and labor costs associated with brand expansion and store openings [6] - Capital expenditure is planned at $270 million, with allocations of 50% for retail store expansion, 25% for technology and logistics, and 25% for office expansion [6] Market Performance and Valuation - URBN shares have gained 32.7% year to date, contrasting with the industry's decline of 9.6% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.14X, slightly below the industry's average of 18.12X, and holds a Value Score of A [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for URBN's fiscal 2026 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 29.1%, with an 8.7% uptick projected for fiscal 2027 [12] - Estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have been revised upward by 6 cents and 11 cents, respectively, in the past 30 days [12]

Core Viewpoint - TCW Relative Value Mid Cap Fund reported a strong performance in Q2 2025, with a return of 7.37%, outperforming the Russell Midcap® Value Index which returned 5.35% [1] Company Overview - Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) is a lifestyle products and services company with a market capitalization of $6.56 billion as of October 2, 2025 [2] - The company operates 744 stores globally, including 257 Urban Outfitters stores, 241 Anthropologie stores, and 237 Free People stores [3] Investment Highlights - Urban Outfitters, Inc. has shown a one-month return of 2.49% and a remarkable 103.93% increase in share value over the last 52 weeks [2] - The stock initially had a market capitalization of $6.5 billion and met four out of five valuation factors: price-to-earnings, price-to-sales, price-to-book, and price-to-cash flow [3] Growth Catalysts - Key catalysts for Urban Outfitters include a turnaround at the Urban Outfitters brand, new product launches, and growth in adjacent product categories [3] - The company plans to clean up inventory and lower markdown levels in fiscal 2026, followed by enhanced marketing efforts [3] - Anthropologie is focusing on expanding in warm weather, athleisure, and intimates and lounge categories, while also seeing positive sales growth in Home [3] - Free People aims to open 25 new stores in 2025, contributing to overall top-line growth and improved cash flow [3]