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Digital Turbine's ODS Growth Fueled by Ad Demand: What's Next?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 16:10
Core Insights - Digital Turbine's On Device Solutions (ODS) simplify mobile app and content discovery through partnerships with carriers and OEMs, benefiting users, carriers, device manufacturers, and app publishers [2] - The ODS business has seen significant growth, with international revenues increasing by 80% year-over-year in Q2 of fiscal 2026, now representing over 25% of total ODS revenues [3] - Strong advertiser demand has resulted in over 30% year-over-year growth in revenue per device for the ODS business, supported by improved pricing and fill rates [4] ODS Business Performance - The ODS segment is experiencing rapid growth due to app delivery and content media, with a diversified revenue stream as no single partner contributes more than 10% of net revenues [5][9] - The increase in smartphone shipments with Digital Turbine's technology has further bolstered the ODS business [5] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like AppLovin and Unity Software operate in the mobile ad-network and app monetization space, adding to the competitive environment for Digital Turbine [6][7] - The market is becoming increasingly fragmented with regional players and OEM-led alternatives [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Digital Turbine's shares have decreased by 227.4% over the past year, contrasting with the 1.3% growth of the Zacks Internet – Software industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-book ratio of 3.62X, which is lower than the industry average of 5.81X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings indicates a year-over-year decline of 5.7%, with recent downward revisions [11]
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold APPS Stock After a 222% Surge in a Year
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 17:16
Core Insights - Digital Turbine (APPS) shares have increased by 221.9% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry's growth of 0.9% [1] - The stock has also outperformed peers such as Unity Software (U) and AppLovin (APP), which returned 76.4% and 70.1% respectively [2] Business Performance - Digital Turbine's On Device Solutions (ODS) are central to simplifying app discovery and delivery through partnerships with carriers and OEMs, including Application Media and Content Media [5] - The ODS business has seen an 80% year-over-year growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, now accounting for over 25% of ODS revenues [6] - Revenue per device in the ODS business has grown by more than 30% year-over-year, driven by strong advertiser demand and global user growth [7] Financial Outlook - Digital Turbine projects fiscal 2026 revenues between $540 million and $550 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $100 million and $105 million [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for APPS' third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings is 16 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 23% [15] Strategic Partnerships - Digital Turbine has established strong partnerships with major companies like Xiaomi, Samsung, HMD, Nokia, and Motorola, enhancing its market position [13] - The addition of TIM (TIMB) as a partner in 2025 will further improve the smartphone experience through personalized app recommendations [14] Investment Recommendation - Given the growth in ODS and AGP, rising advertiser demand, strong international expansion, and diversified partnerships, Digital Turbine is considered an attractive investment opportunity [17]