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APPS vs. PUBM: Which Stock Has an Edge in the AdTech Market?
ZACKS· 2025-12-12 16:46
Core Insights - Digital Turbine (APPS) and PubMatic (PUBM) operate in the digital advertisement market, focusing on different segments: APPS as an on-device advertising platform and PUBM as a sell-side platform for ad publishers [1][2] Digital Turbine (APPS) - APPS' App Growth Platform (AGP) is gaining traction, connecting demand-side platforms (DSPs) with publishers, driven by an expanding SDK footprint and strong performance in the APAC region [3] - In Q2 of fiscal 2026, APPS' AGP supply volumes saw a 30% year-over-year increase in impressions, with improvements in targeting and return on ad spend through AI and machine learning [4][5] - The On Device Solutions segment is experiencing over 30% year-over-year revenue growth per device, supported by strong advertiser demand and improved pricing and fill rates [6] - APPS' AGP segment generated $44.7 million in revenue, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth [5] PubMatic (PUBM) - PUBM is focusing on CTV, AI-driven automation, and sell-side data intelligence to mitigate macro pressures and reduced spending from legacy DSP customers [7] - Mid-tier DSP partners are driving growth, with ad spend from these partners increasing over 25% year-over-year, aided by the adoption of PUBM's AI-enabled tools [8] - PUBM launched Programmatic Guaranteed with a top-three DSP, enhancing efficiency in CTV and premium video deals, with Supply Path Optimization (SPO) accounting for over 55% of platform activity in Q3 2025 [9] - The company has invested heavily in AI, achieving a five times faster bid response speed and serving three times more ad requests per server [10] Performance Comparison - Over the past year, APPS shares increased by 246.2%, while PUBM shares declined by 42.7% [11] - APPS is experiencing strong growth in impressions and revenues, while PUBM is adapting through AI innovation and a diversified DSP mix [12] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for APPS' fiscal 2026 earnings indicates a 5.7% year-over-year decline, with recent downward revisions [13] - PUBM's 2025 earnings estimate is 19 cents per share, reflecting a 75.6% year-over-year decline, but has been revised upward recently [13] Conclusion - APPS benefits from strong on-device demand and rapid revenue growth, while PUBM leverages CTV and AI to strengthen its market position [14] - In terms of valuation, APPS has a trailing P/B multiple of 3.75X, compared to PUBM's 1.76X [15] - APPS holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a stronger investment potential compared to PUBM, which has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [17]
APPS' AGP Growth Fueled by Rising Ad Impressions: What's Next?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 16:26
Core Insights - Digital Turbine's App Growth Platform (AGP) operates a programmatic marketplace for ad inventory, charging demand-side platforms (DSPs) and sharing revenues with publishers [1] Group 1: Business Performance - Digital Turbine's AGP business is experiencing strong growth, with a 30% year-over-year increase in supply volumes in fiscal Q2 2026 [2] - The AGP segment generated $44.7 million in revenues, reflecting a 20% year-over-year growth [4] - The company is enhancing its AGP platform by integrating AI and machine learning to improve ad targeting and return on ad spend [3][4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Digital Turbine does not face significant competition in its AGP business, as many industry players are customers on the DSP side [5] - However, broader competition exists from companies like AppLovin and Unity Software, which operate in mobile ad-network and app monetization [6][7] Group 3: Valuation and Estimates - Digital Turbine's shares have increased by 245.8% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry's growth of 1.1% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-book ratio of 3.72X, which is lower than the industry average of 5.82X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings indicates a year-over-year decline of 5.7%, with recent downward revisions [11]
Digital Turbine(APPS) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $131 million for the first quarter, reflecting an 11% year-over-year growth and $25 million in EBITDA, representing a 73% increase year-over-year [5][14][19] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $25.1 million, marking the highest quarterly EBITDA since 2023 [16] - Free cash flow remained positive at $1.4 million, an improvement of approximately $7 million year-over-year [16] - GAAP net loss was $14.1 million or $0.13 per share, while non-GAAP net income was $5.8 million or $0.05 per share [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The on-device solution (ODS) business generated $95.4 million in revenue, up 18% year-over-year, driven by strong growth in device volumes and revenue per device (RPD) [14][15] - The application growth platform (AGP) segment generated $36.3 million in revenue, representing a 5% decline year-over-year but a 9% sequential increase, indicating early signs of stabilization [15][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced over 30% year-over-year growth in RPD in both the U.S. and international markets for the on-device business [6][7] - Device volumes improved in North America and select international markets, contributing to the overall growth [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on first-party data investments and AI-driven decision-making to enhance targeting and return on ad spend for advertisers [10][11] - The branding of first-party data as "DT Ignite Graph" and the AI platform as "DTiQ" aims to showcase unique advantages to customers and partners [11] - The company is positioning itself for future growth by leveraging regulatory momentum for more open app distribution models [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver value to partners, advertisers, users, and shareholders, citing solid year-over-year growth driven by execution and favorable industry dynamics [13][19] - The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $525 million to $535 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $90 million to $95 million for fiscal year 2026 [19] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of $34.1 million and total debt of $400.5 million, a reduction of over $8 million quarter-over-quarter [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: International carrier strength and RPD improvement - Management indicated that the international business was up 70%, driven by better device volumes and RPDs, with improved execution and demand from various geographies [21][22][23] Question: Longevity of brand revenue - Management noted a nearly 50% increase in brand advertisers on the platform, indicating strong diversification and encouraging growth potential [24][25] Question: Potential breakup of Apple and Google monopoly - Management highlighted strong interest from publishers for alternative app stores and the encouraging legal developments supporting a more open mobile marketplace [26][27] Question: AGP business improvement - Management emphasized the importance of performance side improvements and investments in first-party data and AI to drive top-line growth in the AGP business [31][34] Question: Growth from device sales turnaround - Management acknowledged a macro trend of improving device sales as a potential tailwind for growth, alongside efforts to expand technology on more devices [38][41] Question: Geographic growth areas - Management reported growth in Asia and Europe for AGP, and double-digit growth in the U.S. for the ODS business, indicating a global growth story [42][43]