Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Q2 Holdings (QTWO) reports results for the quarter ended September 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on November 5, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expec ...

Core Viewpoint - Q2 Holdings (QTWO) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook that may lead to increased stock price [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are a significant factor influencing stock prices [4][6]. - Rising earnings estimates for Q2 Holdings suggest an improvement in the company's underlying business, likely resulting in upward pressure on the stock price [5][10]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) [7]. - Stocks in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, like Q2 Holdings with its Zacks Rank 2, are positioned for potential market-beating returns [10]. Earnings Estimate Revisions for Q2 Holdings - Q2 Holdings is projected to earn $2.22 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, with no year-over-year change [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q2 Holdings has increased by 36.1%, reflecting positive sentiment among analysts [8].

Company Performance - Q2 Holdings reported quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 per share, and up from $0.31 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 12.50% [1] - The company posted revenues of $189.74 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.73%, compared to year-ago revenues of $165.51 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Q2 Holdings has surpassed consensus revenue estimates four times, but has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [2] Stock Outlook - Q2 Holdings shares have declined approximately 21.2% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has decreased by 4.7% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.50 on revenues of $191.56 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.13 on revenues of $774.84 million [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Q2 Holdings belongs, is currently ranked in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact Q2 Holdings' stock performance [5]