Grand Canyon Education (NasdaqGS:LOPE) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 18, 2026 04:30 PM ET Company ParticipantsAlex Paris - PresidentBrian Mueller - President and CEODan Bachus - CFOJeff Silber - Managing DirectorSarah Collins - General CounselOperatorGood day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2025 Grand Canyon Education earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation, we'll open up for questions. To ask a questio ...

Grand Canyon Education (NasdaqGS:LOPE) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 18, 2026 04:30 PM ET Company ParticipantsAlex Paris - PresidentBrian Mueller - President and CEODan Bachus - CFOJeff Silber - Managing DirectorSarah Collins - General CounselOperatorGood day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the fourth quarter 2025 Grand Canyon Education earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation, we'll open up for questions. To ask a questio ...

Grand Canyon Education (NasdaqGS:LOPE) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 18, 2026 04:30 PM ET Speaker4Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the fourth quarter 2025 Grand Canyon Education earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation, we'll open up for questions. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To wit ...

Company Overview - New Oriental Education & Technology Group operates a wide range of private education services in China, including K-12 after-school tutoring, test preparation, language training, and online education programs [5][8] - The company reported a market capitalization of $9.17 billion and a revenue of $4.99 billion for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - Net income for the TTM was $367 million, indicating a slight year-over-year decline of 2% [4][10] Financial Performance - For the fiscal first quarter, revenue increased by 6.1% year-over-year to $1.52 billion, while operating income rose to $310.8 million [9] - Non-GAAP operating income grew by 11.3% to $335.5 million, supported by improved cost discipline and a 100-basis-point expansion in non-GAAP operating margin [9] - The company generated nearly $192 million in operating cash flow for the quarter and maintained over $1.28 billion in cash on its balance sheet [9] Investment Activity - First Beijing Investment Ltd increased its stake in New Oriental by 2.23 million shares, bringing its total position to 9.35 million shares valued at $496.02 million as of September 30 [2][6] - New Oriental now represents 19.15% of First Beijing Investment's U.S. equity portfolio, indicating a significant commitment to the education sector [2][6] Market Context - As of the latest data, New Oriental shares were priced at $55.03, reflecting a 13% decline over the past year, contrasting with the S&P 500's increase of approximately 16% [3] - The investor's decision to increase its stake in New Oriental suggests a belief that the market is undervaluing the company's resilience despite the challenges faced by the education sector in recent years [6][10]

Core Insights - American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 10, after market close [1] - The company reported an adjusted loss per share that was narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 71.4%, with revenues exceeding the consensus by 1.1% and growing 6.5% year over year [1] Revenue Performance - APEI's revenue growth is attributed to an increase in students utilizing federal student aid and military-affiliated education benefit programs, along with effective marketing and enrollment strategies [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in Q3 is $160.5 million, reflecting a 4.8% increase from $153.1 million in the same quarter last year [3] - The company expects net course registrations in the APUS segment to rise by 5-7% year over year, with enrollments in the RU and HCN segments projected to increase by 10% and 18%, respectively [5][6] Earnings Outlook - APEI anticipates a loss per share between 15 cents and 4 cents for the third quarter, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $15 million and $17 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 16-32% [8] - The company projects total costs and expenses to rise by 7.7% to $160.4 million compared to the previous year, driven by increased faculty compensation and marketing costs [9] Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model indicates that APEI does not have a strong likelihood of an earnings beat this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [10][11]

Core Insights - The Zacks Schools industry is experiencing a rebound driven by increased demand for career-focused programs in healthcare, skilled trades, cybersecurity, and IT, supported by a labor market that values job-ready skills and government initiatives promoting non-degree pathways [1][2] - Digital innovation is a key differentiator, with institutions investing in adaptive learning tools and scalable online platforms to enhance engagement and support flexible learning for working adults [1][8] - The sector is undergoing consolidation as larger players acquire smaller institutions to broaden offerings and improve scale, with recent legislative changes like "Workforce Pell" expanding market opportunities for accredited programs [6][12] Industry Overview - The Zacks Schools industry includes for-profit education companies offering undergraduate, graduate, and specialized programs in various fields such as finance, healthcare, and technology [3] - The industry is focused on providing career-oriented programs that align with labor market needs, particularly in high-demand areas like nursing and cybersecurity [3][5] Trends Influencing Growth - There is a rising demand for workforce-oriented programs, particularly among adult learners and career switchers, as the labor market increasingly values job-ready skills over traditional degrees [4] - The healthcare sector is facing a significant shortage of skilled professionals, prompting educational institutions to design rigorous programs that meet workforce needs [5] - Digital transformation is driving interest in IT boot camps and tech-aligned certifications, where for-profit providers have established a scalable presence [4] Financial Performance and Market Position - The Zacks Schools industry has lagged the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector but has outperformed the S&P 500 Composite over the past year, with a collective gain of 20.6% [16] - The industry's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is currently at 15.32X, lower than the S&P 500's 22.76X, indicating potential value opportunities [19] Company Highlights - Grand Canyon Education has seen a 10% increase in total online enrollment and a 42.1% stock surge over the past year, with earnings for 2025 expected to grow by 12.8% [25] - Laureate Education's stock has rallied 76.6% over the past year, with a projected earnings growth of 28.2% for 2025 [28] - Stride has experienced a 107.8% stock increase, with fiscal 2026 earnings expected to grow by 5.2% [32] - Lincoln Educational Services has surged 59.5% in stock price, with a projected earnings growth of 19.6% for 2025 [34] - Perdoceo Education's stock has risen 44.7%, with earnings for 2025 expected to grow by 10% [39]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Service revenue for Q4 2024 was $292.6 million, an increase of $14.3 million or 5.1% compared to $278.3 million in Q4 2023 [18] - Operating income for Q4 2024 was $100 million with an operating margin of 34.2%, while excluding impairment charges, operating income was $101.9 million, up $4.1 million from $97.8 million in Q4 2023 [19][24] - Net income increased by 1.4% to $81.9 million in Q4 2024 compared to $80.7 million in Q4 2023 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Online enrollment growth was 7.1% in Q4 2024, with new starts expected to increase in the mid to high single digits for Q1 2025 [3][8] - Ground campus enrollments were slightly down year over year, but GCU plans to grow its traditional campus to 50,000 students [8][9] - Hybrid campus enrollment increased by 9.8% year over year in Q4 2024, with an expected growth rate in the low to mid teens for 2025 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - New starts from employer partnerships increased by 12.5% year over year in Q4 2024, focusing on industries like education and healthcare [6] - The company has rolled out 148 new programs since the pandemic, directly tied to labor market opportunities [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to address workforce challenges by providing relevant programs and creative delivery models [4] - GCE continues to invest in initiatives for university partners, believing in the untapped potential of the workforce [3] - The company is focused on maintaining low tuition increases, averaging about 1% per year since 2018 [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about enrollment growth, citing positive trends in registrations and retention rates [41] - The company anticipates a slight decline in margins in the first half of 2025 due to increased investments but expects margins to expand in the second half [33] - Management highlighted the importance of producing strong outcomes in education to align with regulatory expectations and market needs [65] Other Important Information - The effective tax rate for Q4 2024 was 21.2%, an increase from 19.9% in Q4 2023, primarily due to higher state income taxes [25] - The company repurchased 416,497 shares at a cost of approximately $64.8 million in Q4 2024, with an additional 226,258 shares repurchased since [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the demand and growth goals for the Grand Campus intake? - Management noted that adjustments to the Discover GCU process have led to a significant increase in conversion rates, with registrations ahead of last year [39][41] Question: What are the academic outcomes for ABSN students? - The outcomes reported are for all ABSN students, with high success rates for those entering the program [42][44] Question: What is the status of the GCU contract? - The GCU contract continues without expiration, with discussions about early extension due to positive outcomes [50][51] Question: How many hybrid locations are currently open? - There are currently 45 hybrid sites open, with plans to open 6 to 8 more per year [52] Question: What are the impacts of regulatory changes on the company? - Management indicated that the focus on outcomes in education aligns well with the company's model, which is producing strong results [56][65] Question: Any updates on the court ruling regarding nonprofit status? - The court ruled in favor of GCU, affirming its nonprofit status, and the case has been remanded back to the Department of Education [67][70] Question: Will the hybrid pillar return to profitability in 2025? - Management expects the hybrid pillar to cross back to profitability in 2025 based on current site margins [71]