Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of selecting valuable research reports and understanding market trends to avoid missing investment opportunities [1] - The optical module market is experiencing a "price increase and volume rise" phenomenon, with a specific company achieving a global market share of 2nd in PLC and sending samples of 100G chips, projecting a net profit increase of 563% by 2025, with a PE significantly lower than peers [1] - The AI-driven testing machine market is surging, with a global scale exceeding $6 billion and a compound growth rate of 57%, revealing domestic replacement targets that have entered the leading supply chain [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Innolight and Eoptolink, with target prices updated to Rmb569 and Rmb472 respectively [15][26]. Core Insights - The networking sector is viewed positively due to optimistic growth forecasts for ASICs from Broadcom, strong long-term capital expenditure outlooks from Meta/OpenAI, and Oracle's significant datacenter expansion plans, indicating better demand visibility beyond 2026 [2][11]. - Despite a strong year-to-date rally, profit-taking is expected; however, the overall narrative remains compelling with a potential re-rating of transceiver companies to a PE of 20x+ [2][3]. - The report highlights a revision in industry demand estimates for 800G and 1.6T transceivers, projecting shipments of 56.3 million and 19.2 million respectively for FY27, reflecting a 42% year-over-year growth [11][29]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook - The report emphasizes the longevity of demand in the transceiver market, driven by significant AI investments from major US cloud service providers [11]. - The expected rollout of 3.2T SiPh transceivers in late 2027 is noted as a key development, with 800G and 1.6T remaining dominant solutions in the interim [11][29]. Company Performance - Innolight is expected to secure a higher market share due to its strong R&D capabilities and its role as a key supplier for Oracle, alongside benefiting from the anticipated EML shortage [26][27]. - Eoptolink is projected to gain market share as it capitalizes on its LPO capabilities and the rapid build-out of Oracle's datacenter [15][26]. Financial Estimates - Revenue estimates for FY26 have been revised upwards, with a projected revenue of Rmb46.287 billion, reflecting a 20% increase from previous estimates [19][30]. - Net profit estimates for FY26 have also been increased to Rmb19.535 billion, a 22% rise compared to earlier projections [19][30]. Market Dynamics - The report discusses the competitive landscape, noting that while some tier-2 companies are planning to enter overseas markets, significant progress has yet to be observed [3]. - The potential for a 20-30% penetration of CPO in the market by 2029-2030 is highlighted, although major CSPs have not yet shown signs of mass adoption [3][11].