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Oracle's Nvidia‑Backed AI Push Set To Upend The Cloud
Benzinga· 2025-07-17 16:47
Core Viewpoint - Oracle Corporation is positioning itself as a significant player in the AI infrastructure market, potentially transforming its growth trajectory and market valuation, as highlighted by Scotiabank's endorsement [1] Group 1: Analyst Coverage and Ratings - Scotiabank analyst Patrick Colville initiated coverage of Oracle with a Sector Outperform rating and a price forecast of $300, indicating a major transformation into a top-tier independent AI infrastructure provider [2] - Colville believes Oracle is under-owned by long-only funds, suggesting that shares could rise as the company exceeds expectations [3] Group 2: Financial Projections and Revenue Growth - Oracle's GPU infrastructure revenue is projected to quadruple year over year to $10 billion in fiscal 2026, contingent on the timely launch of the Abilene AI data center [4] - The analyst expects Oracle's cloud database revenue to reach a projected $4.5 billion run rate by fiscal 2027, aided by new partnerships with Amazon, Microsoft, and Google [5] Group 3: Margin and Profitability Insights - Despite concerns about margins, Colville argues they are exaggerated, with estimated non-GAAP operating margins of 42.4% in fiscal 2026 and 42% in fiscal 2027, indicating strong profitability [6] - Oracle's tight control over operating costs is expected to sustain profitability even as gross margins may decline with NeoCloud scaling [6] Group 4: Market Position and Competitive Edge - OCI's pricing, performance, and security are highlighted as key strengths, along with Oracle's capital access and support from NVIDIA, which provide a competitive edge [4] - Oracle's declining database market share, which fell to 17% in 2024, is expected to stabilize due to new cloud database partnerships [5] Group 5: Stock Performance - Oracle shares were up 2.90% at $248.29 at the time of publication, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding the company's strategic direction [7]