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RKLB or AVAV: Which Stock Stands Out in the Space Race Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-27 15:51
Industry Overview - The United States is heavily investing in satellite operations, missile warning systems, and space-based ISR to maintain dominance in future conflicts, leading to increased investor interest in companies like Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) and AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) [1] Rocket Lab (RKLB) - Recent achievements include the launch of its 70th Electron mission and the acquisition of GEOST, enhancing its capabilities in electro-optical and infrared sensor systems [4][5] - The company has reached an integration milestone for the U.S. Space Force's Victus Haze mission, showcasing its ability to deliver responsive space operations [5] - Financially, Rocket Lab ended Q2 with cash and equivalents of $688 million, with current debt at $17 million and long-term debt at $415 million, indicating strong solvency [6] - Challenges include a high-cost structure due to investments in new technologies and long development timelines for programs like Neutron, which may delay revenue generation [7][8] AeroVironment (AVAV) - Recent achievements include the delivery of Group 2 P550 small Unmanned Aircraft Systems to the U.S. Army and a strategic partnership with Sierra Nevada Corp. for missile defense systems [9][11] - AeroVironment ended the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025 with cash and equivalents of $41 million and long-term debt of $30 million, reflecting a strong financial position [12] - Challenges include labor shortages and supply-chain constraints that could disrupt production and contract deliveries [13][14] Financial Performance Comparison - Rocket Lab's stock gained 690.3% over the past year, while AeroVironment's stock grew by 26.9% [10] - RKLB's forward Price/Sales multiple is 30.09X, compared to AVAV's more attractive 5.84X [10][19] - Zacks Consensus Estimates for RKLB indicate a projected loss of $0.25 per share for 2025, with revenues expected to grow by 34.7% to $587.4 million [15] - For AVAV, the 2025 EPS estimate is $3.23, reflecting a decline of 1.5%, but revenues are expected to grow by 144.3% to $2 billion [16] Conclusion - Both Rocket Lab and AeroVironment are benefiting from increased investments in space and defense, with Rocket Lab showing significant stock performance but facing valuation sustainability concerns [22] - AeroVironment offers a more stable balance of growth potential and value, making it a stronger option for long-term investors [23]