The outlook for the Zacks Foreign Auto Industry remains cautious despite pockets of demand resilience across key markets. China, the industry’s largest growth engine, is likely to see slower momentum in 2026 as policy support for new energy vehicles fades and fragile consumer confidence weighs on demand. Europe may deliver modest volume growth, but a shift toward mass-market and EV models, along with restructuring costs, is expected to keep margins under pressure. Japan’s recovery is steady but uneven, with ...

Core Insights - The Zacks Automotive – Foreign industry presents a mixed landscape of opportunities and challenges, with varying growth trajectories across regions [1] Industry Overview - The foreign automotive industry is heavily influenced by economic conditions and business cycles, with key manufacturing countries including China, Japan, Germany, and India [2] - Technological advancements are reshaping the market, with a focus on stricter emission targets and the ramp-up of charging infrastructure, boosting green vehicle sales [2] Key Investing Themes - **China's Auto Market**: China's auto market is expanding, with domestic car sales increasing by 6.6% year-over-year to 2.27 million units in September 2025. Electric and hybrid vehicles accounted for 57.2% of total sales, up 15.5% from the previous year [3] - **Europe's Auto Industry**: Europe's auto industry faces challenges from trade tensions and competition, but new car registrations rose 0.9% year-to-date through September 2025, with a 10% increase in September alone [4] - **Japan's Car Industry**: Japan's auto market shows moderate growth, with a 5.1% increase in car sales year-to-date through September 2025, but the EV segment lags behind, with sales down 11.9% [5] - **India's Auto Sector**: India's auto retail sector grew by 3.4% year-over-year in the first half of FY26, supported by structural reforms and a shift towards electric mobility [6][7] Industry Performance - The Zacks Automotive – Foreign industry ranks 204, placing it in the bottom 16% of around 245 Zacks industries, indicating dull near-term prospects [8][9] - The industry has underperformed compared to the Auto, Tires, and Truck sector and the S&P 500, with an 11% increase over the past year compared to 20% and 41% for the sector and S&P 500, respectively [11] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 7.58X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 19.13X and the sector's 24.23X [14] - Over the past five years, the industry has traded between 6.5X and 12.6X, with a median of 9X [15] Investment Opportunities - **Geely Automobile Holdings Limited**: Geely reported a 28% year-over-year increase in sales, surpassing 1 million vehicles for the first time in Q3 2025. Electrified vehicle sales surged 59% to 588,110 units, making up 58% of total sales [18][19] - **XPeng Inc.**: XPeng delivered over 190,000 vehicles in 2024, a 34% increase year-over-year, with Q3 2025 deliveries surging 149% to 116,007 units. The company is investing in future technologies, including flying cars and humanoid robots [23][24]