Core Insights - Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) is set to release its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on September 30, before market open, with expectations of a decent earnings surprise based on past performance [1][10] Revenue Expectations - The consensus estimate for Paychex's first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues is $1.5 billion, reflecting a 16.6% increase from the same quarter last year, driven by strong segmental growth [2][10] - Management Solutions revenues are projected at $1.1 billion, indicating a 20.2% year-over-year rise, supported by the addition of Paycor and higher revenues per client [3][10] - PEO and insurance solution revenues are expected to reach $339 million, representing a 6.2% increase from the prior year, attributed to robust growth in average PEO worksite employees [4] - Interest on funds held for clients is anticipated to be $41.2 million, implying a 10% rise from the year-ago quarter, bolstered by the inclusion of Paycor balance [4] Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $1.21 per share, suggesting a 4.3% increase from the year-ago quarter, likely due to margin expansion [5] - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Paychex, with an Earnings ESP of +0.12% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [6]

Core Insights - Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 25, with a history of positive earnings surprises, averaging 1.7% above the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past four quarters [1] Revenue Expectations - The consensus estimate for Paychex's Q4 fiscal 2025 revenues is $1.4 billion, reflecting a 9.3% increase year-over-year, driven by segmental growth [2][9] - Management Solutions revenues are projected at $979 million, indicating a 5.2% rise year-over-year, supported by an increasing number of clients and higher revenues per client due to pricing and product penetration [3][9] - PEO and insurance solution revenues are expected to reach $340.9 million, a 4.4% increase from the same quarter last year, attributed to a rise in the average number of worksite employees [4][9] Earnings Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $1.19 per share, representing a 6.3% increase from the previous year, with strong margins anticipated to support the bottom line [5] - Paychex has an Earnings ESP of -1.27% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating that the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat this time [6][7]