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Can StoneCo's MSMB Momentum Keep Driving Its Growth Story?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-29 16:41
Core Insights - StoneCo Ltd. is increasingly reliant on Brazil's micro, small, and medium-sized businesses (MSMBs), achieving strong profit and return on equity (ROE) growth despite economic challenges [1][5] - The divestiture of software operations has streamlined StoneCo's business model, enhancing capital efficiency and focusing on MSMB banking, credit, and payments [1][9] Payments Segment - Transaction volume (TPV) in the MSMB segment increased by 12% year over year, reaching R$122 billion in the June quarter, driven by a 59% rise in PIX QR code payments and a 6.4% increase in card transactions [2] - The active MSMB client base grew by 17% to 4.5 million, with nearly 40% of merchants utilizing multiple services from StoneCo [3] Banking and Credit Growth - Active banking users rose by 23% year over year to 3.3 million, with deposits increasing by 36%, and time deposits now constitute 83% of the total deposit mix [4] - The credit portfolio expanded by 25% sequentially to R$1.8 billion, with MSMB working capital disbursements up by 41% [4] Competitive Landscape - PagSeguro Digital Ltd. reported a 2.1% year-over-year increase in MSMB TPV, while MercadoLibre, Inc. saw a significant 39% rise in TPV [6][7] Stock Performance and Valuation - StoneCo's shares have surged by 48.6% over the past three months, outperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 [8] - The current forward 12-month P/E ratio for StoneCo is 10.06X, significantly below the industry average of 38.98X and its three-year median of 10.98X [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for StoneCo's earnings per share has been revised upward for both 2025 and 2026 [11]