Summary of Trip.com Group (TCOM) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Trip.com Group (TCOM) - **Market Cap**: $46.0 billion - **Enterprise Value**: $39.8 billion - **12-Month Price Target**: $91.00 (current price: $72.44, upside: 25.6%) [1][5][25] Key Financial Results - **3Q25 Revenue Growth**: +16% YoY to Rmb6.1 billion, slightly above estimates [1][19] - **EBIT Growth**: +12% YoY, with EBIT margin at 33.4%, slightly above guidance [1][32] - **Net Profit**: Rmb19.2 billion, significantly up from Rmb6 billion in 3Q24 due to a one-off disposal gain [1][23] - **Revenue Contribution**: Domestic business at 65%, outbound travel at 15%, and Skyscanner at 7% [1][19] Segment Performance - **Accommodation Revenue**: Grew +18% YoY, driven by a +70% increase in international bookings [1][19][26] - **Transportation Ticketing**: Revenue growth accelerated to +12% YoY, with air ticket volume growth over +60% [1][27] - **Corporate Travel**: Revenue growth accelerated to +15% YoY, driven by an expanding customer base [1][28] - **Packaged Tours**: Remained soft at +3% YoY, below guidance due to demand for personalized travel experiences [1][19] Market Trends and Outlook - **Travel Demand**: Management remains optimistic about leisure travel demand, especially during the Golden Week holidays [1][20] - **Competitive Landscape**: Despite increased competition from Agoda and Booking.com, TCOM believes the market remains fragmented, providing growth opportunities [1][20] - **Guidance for 4Q25**: Revenue growth expected at +15-20% YoY, with accommodation and transportation ticketing segments projected to grow at +17-22% and +10-15% respectively [1][22][31] Cost Management and Margins - **Cost Control**: Personnel-related expenses grew +9% YoY, below revenue growth, contributing to margin stability [1][32] - **Sales & Marketing Expenses**: Expected to increase to ~27% of revenue in 4Q25 due to heightened marketing efforts [1][32] Shareholder Returns and Cash Position - **Share Repurchase**: Completed a $400 million annual share repurchase program [1][35] - **Cash Position**: Cash and equivalents totaled Rmb107.7 billion (approximately $15.2 billion) as of September 2025 [1][36] Additional Insights - **User Growth**: Monthly active users (MAU) grew over 70% YoY in October [1][20] - **Experience Market**: Currently generates ~Rmb5 billion GMV, seen as a complement to other booking services rather than a primary focus [1][21] - **Long-term Strategy**: TCOM aims to balance revenue growth with margin management, particularly for the Trip.com platform [1][23][25] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the financial performance, market trends, and strategic outlook for Trip.com Group.

Summary of Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM.O) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM) - **Industry**: Online Travel Agency (OTA) in China - **Founded**: 1999, listed on NASDAQ in 2003 Key Financial Results - **2Q25 Performance**: Revenue increased by 16% year-over-year (YoY) to RMB 14.8 billion, exceeding expectations - **Segment Breakdown**: - Accommodation revenue: RMB 6.2 billion (+21% YoY) - Transportation ticketing: RMB 5.4 billion (+11% YoY) - Packaged tours: RMB 1.1 billion (+5% YoY) - Corporate travel: RMB 692 million (+9% YoY) - Other revenues: RMB 1.47 billion (+31% YoY) [11][12] Revenue Growth Projections - **Domestic Revenue Growth**: Projected at 9% YoY in 2H25, driven by hotel room nights growth despite softening transportation ticketing volume [2] - **Outbound Growth**: Expected to slow to low teens in 2H25 but still outperform the industry [2] Margin Insights - **Operating Margin**: Adjusted Operating Profit Margin (OPM) expected to improve to 32% in 3Q25, with a drop anticipated in 4Q25 due to seasonal factors [3] - **Marketing Efficiency**: Improved marketing optimization has positively impacted margins [3] Shareholder Return Strategy - **Share Repurchase Program**: Announced a USD 5 billion share repurchase program to offset dilution from Employee Stock Ownership Plans (ESOP) and support share price during volatility [4][12] Earnings Estimates - **Revised Earnings Estimates**: Increased by 2% for 2025, 2% for 2026, and 3% for 2027 [1] - **Target Price**: Raised to USD 85 from USD 78, reflecting a 30.2% expected share price return [6][10] Financial Metrics - **2023A Net Profit**: RMB 13,071 million - **2024A Net Profit**: RMB 18,041 million - **2025E Net Profit**: RMB 18,698 million - **2026E Net Profit**: RMB 21,231 million - **2027E Net Profit**: RMB 23,287 million [5] Risks and Challenges - **Downside Risks**: Include potential softening of the China macro environment, slower-than-expected recovery in travel demand, worsening spending and margins, intensified domestic competition, and new outbreaks of COVID-19 or other epidemics [26] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: The stock is rated as a Buy due to resilient domestic performance, strong growth prospects, and a focus on shareholder returns [24][25]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, Trip.com Group reported net revenue of RMB 13.8 billion, a 16% increase year over year and a 9% increase quarter over quarter, driven by strong travel consumption and resilient demand across segments [24][29] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was RMB 4.2 billion, compared to RMB 4 billion in the same period last year and RMB 3 billion in the previous quarter, indicating continued operational efficiency improvement [27][29] - Diluted earnings per ordinary share were RMB 6.09 (US$0.84), while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share were RMB 5.90 (US$0.82) for Q1 2025 [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Accommodation reservation revenue for Q1 was RMB 5.5 billion, representing a 23% increase year over year and a 7% increase quarter over quarter [24] - Transportation ticketing revenue for Q1 was RMB 5.4 billion, reflecting an 8% increase year over year and a 13% increase quarter over quarter [25] - Packaged tour revenue for Q1 was RMB 947 million, a 7% increase year over year and a 9% increase quarter over quarter [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Inbound travel bookings surged by approximately 100% year over year, with hotel bookings from key visa-free countries in APAC increasing by over 240% [15][16] - Outbound hotel and air bookings returned to more than 120% of 2019 levels, outperforming the market by 30-40% [17] - Domestic hotel bookings continued to see double-digit growth year over year, indicating strong consumer appetite for local exploration [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing its AI capabilities to improve user experience and streamline the travel booking process, with AI tools like TripGenie seeing a 50% increase in average user session duration [9][11] - Trip.com aims to capture the growing inbound travel market by enriching its offerings and improving service capabilities, including multilingual support and personalized itineraries [8][15] - The company is committed to sustainable travel and rural revitalization, having built 34 country retreats to stimulate local economies [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of travel demand, supported by strong consumer confidence and favorable policies [29] - The company anticipates continued growth in both inbound and outbound travel, with a focus on capturing opportunities in emerging markets [7][24] - Management noted that leisure travel demand remains strong, with corporate users expecting their travel budgets to grow or remain unchanged by 2025 [50] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased approximately US$84 million of its shares, demonstrating a commitment to delivering value to shareholders [28][82] - The balance of cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2025, was RMB 92.9 billion (US$12.8 billion) [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on AI in the travel industry - Management discussed the strengths of vertical AI agents in providing real-time travel data and enhancing user experience, while general AI agents offer broader information [31][33] Question: Performance during Labor Day holiday - Domestic hotel bookings increased by over 20% year over year, with inbound bookings surging by approximately 150% [37] Question: Outbound travel trends and expectations - Outbound bookings have consistently outperformed the industry, with expectations for double-digit annual growth [40] Question: Hotel industry performance and pricing outlook - Hotel ADR decreased by high single digits in Q1, but prices stabilized moving into Q2, with expectations for stabilization due to increasing travel demand [44] Question: Consumer sentiment amid macro environments - Travel demand remains resilient, with leisure travel demand strong and business travel showing stable demand [50] Question: Domestic competitive landscape - Competition in the domestic market is rationalized, with a strong focus on loyalty programs and customer retention [54] Question: Insights into first quarter performance - Overall bookings increased by more than 60% year over year, with APAC as a top priority for growth [57] Question: International business marketing strategies - The company is intensifying marketing efforts in Asia, with a focus on direct app user acquisition proving most effective [61] Question: Inbound business developments - Inbound travel has seen strong momentum due to favorable policies, with significant growth in bookings [72] Question: Sales and marketing expenses outlook - Marketing expenses may fluctuate due to seasonality, but the company aims to improve efficiencies through increased direct mobile traffic [78] Question: Capital return program - The company plans to continue share buybacks and has already returned US$200 million in cash dividends to shareholders [82]