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2 Paper and Related Products Stocks to Watch Amid Industry Challenges
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 17:05
Core Insights - The Zacks Paper and Related Products industry is facing subdued demand due to lower consumer spending and a decline in graphic paper demand driven by digitalization. However, the rise in e-commerce and steady demand from consumer-oriented markets like food, beverages, and healthcare are expected to support the industry. Increased environmental awareness is also driving growth as paper is seen as a sustainable packaging alternative [1][5]. Industry Overview - The Zacks Paper and Related Products industry includes companies that manufacture and sell a diverse range of paper products, including graphic paper, packaging paper, and absorbent hygiene products. The industry serves various sectors such as food and beverage, healthcare, and e-commerce, providing sustainable solutions for shipping, storage, and display [3]. Major Trends - The industry is experiencing weak demand and high costs, with the transition to digital media negatively impacting graphic paper demand. Companies are shifting production to focus on packaging and specialty paper. Rising costs for transportation, chemicals, and fuel are prompting industry players to implement pricing actions and cost reduction strategies [4]. - Despite current challenges, the industry's exposure to consumer-focused markets ensures stable earnings growth. The rise of e-commerce is increasing the importance of packaging, presenting significant growth opportunities for the industry [5]. M&A Activities - The demand for sustainable packaging is driving M&A activities within the industry. The merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock to form Smurfit Westrock is expected to enhance geographic reach and sustainability capabilities. International Paper's acquisition of DS Smith aims to strengthen its corrugated packaging business in Europe [6]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Paper and Related Products industry has outperformed the Basic Materials sector but lagged behind the S&P 500 over the past year, with an 11.2% gain compared to the sector's 3.6% and the S&P 500's 18.3% [10]. Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.67X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 18.47X and the Basic Materials sector's 14.24X. Over the past five years, the industry has traded between 4.42X and 12.45X, with a median of 7.85X [13][16]. Company Highlights - **Smurfit Westrock**: The company is focused on asset optimization and has undergone significant transformation since 2023, aiming for a $400 million synergy target by the end of 2025. It has invested $1 billion in 2025 to enhance efficiency and sustainability [17][18]. - **Suzano**: The company has made strategic acquisitions to strengthen its position in the tissue market and is building a new tissue paper mill with an investment of R$650 million ($115 million). In Q2 2025, Suzano reported a 28% year-over-year increase in sales, driven by strong operational contributions from new production facilities [21][22].
2 Paper and Related Products Stocks to Keep an Eye on Despite Industry Challenges
ZACKS· 2025-04-10 17:55
Industry Overview - The Zacks Paper and Related Products industry is facing subdued demand due to lower consumer spending and a decline in graphic paper demand driven by digitalization [1][4] - However, increasing packaging requirements from e-commerce and steady demand from consumer-oriented markets like food, beverages, and healthcare are expected to support the industry [1][5] - Environmental awareness is enhancing the appeal of paper as a sustainable packaging alternative, acting as a significant growth driver [1] Major Trends - The transition to digital media has negatively impacted the graphic paper market, leading to a shift in production focus towards packaging and specialty paper [4] - Rising costs for transportation, chemicals, and fuel are pressing concerns, prompting companies to focus on pricing actions, cost reduction, and automation to enhance productivity [4] - Despite current challenges, the industry's exposure to consumer-focused markets ensures stable earnings growth, with global e-commerce revenues projected to reach $4.3 trillion by 2025 [5] M&A Activities - Increased demand for sustainable packaging is driving M&A activities in the industry, exemplified by the merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock to form Smurfit Westrock [6] - International Paper's acquisition of DS Smith aims to strengthen its corrugated packaging business and enhance sustainable packaging solutions [6][18] Industry Performance - The Zacks Paper and Related Products industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and the Basic Materials sector over the past year, with a gain of 14.2% compared to a 15.7% decline in the sector [10] - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.49X, lower than the S&P 500's 12.88X and the Basic Materials sector's 7.01X [12] Company Highlights - Suzano inaugurated the world's largest single-line pulp mill, increasing its pulp production capacity by 24% to 13.5 million tons per year, leading to record sales of 12.3 million tons in 2024 [15][16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Suzano's 2025 earnings has increased by 26% in the past 90 days, indicating a year-over-year growth of around 304% [16] - International Paper's acquisition of DS Smith is expected to yield $600-$700 million in pre-tax cash synergies by 2027, with projected net sales of $26-$28 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $5.5-$6 billion by 2027 [18]