Palantir (PLTR) recently posted fourth-quarter 2025 results that trounced analyst estimates. Revenue grew 70% to $1.41 billion, while adjusted EPS came in at $0.25 against expectations of $0.23. Full-year revenue came in at $4.48 billion, with management expecting 2026 revenue at $7.19 billion, up 61% year-over-year (YOY). That's almost $1 billion more than what the consensus penciled in earlier. As one would expect, PLTR stock surged on the report, but this didn't last for long. Shares are down 3% over ...

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies Inc is experiencing significant technical challenges as it approaches its fourth quarter earnings, with its stock showing signs of structural risk for the first time in nearly three years [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The stock closed at $157.35, falling below its 200-day moving average of approximately $158.7, marking a critical long-term trend break [1]. - Momentum indicators show that the stock is below its eight-day, 20-day, and 50-day simple moving averages, with the MACD indicator indicating accelerating downside momentum [2]. - The daily RSI has dropped to around 31.7, the lowest since April 2024, suggesting a significant trend transition rather than a routine pullback [3]. Group 2: Key Support Levels - A head-and-shoulders pattern is forming, with the neckline near $150; a decisive break below this level would confirm the pattern and lead to a deeper technical unwind [4]. - The $150 level is identified as a critical support and trigger point for potential further declines [4]. Group 3: Earnings Impact - Palantir's fourth quarter earnings report is imminent, and it is crucial for the stock to reclaim the 200-day moving average and push back above the $165–$170 range to stabilize the situation [5]. - The current technical landscape indicates that Palantir is no longer in a clean momentum uptrend, with the upcoming earnings acting as a potential catalyst for significant market movement [5].

Palantir is a fast grower, and profitable -- but does it cost too much?Palantir (PLTR +2.95%) investors had a horrible November, as shares of the tech wunderkind tumbled 23% from an all-time high hit early in the month to a low below $155 less than three weeks later.Then Palantir bounced.By month's end, shares of the government contractor and artificial intelligence superstar stock regained 8% of its losses. As the calendar flips to December, Palantir's run isn't done. Shares rose 3.2% through 10:40 a.m. ET ...

Core Insights - Palantir, Inc. (PLTR) stock is potentially undervalued by nearly 20% based on analysts' increased revenue forecasts and a projected free cash flow (FCF) margin of 48% [1][3] - The stock is currently trading at $181.07, up from a recent low of $153.11 [1] - Analysts have raised their revenue forecast for 2026 to $5.61 billion, an increase from previous estimates of $5.33 billion [4] Financial Performance - Palantir's adjusted FCF margin is projected to exceed 48% of revenue, translating to $2 billion in adjusted FCF from a revenue estimate of $4.15 billion [3][4] - The company reported an impressive Q2 adjusted FCF margin of 56.7%, with $569 million in adjusted FCF from $1 billion in revenue [4] - The trailing 12-month unadjusted FCF margin stands at 49.7% [4] Valuation Metrics - Current trading reflects a FCF multiple of over 215 times, based on a market cap of $431 billion and a forecasted adjusted FCF of $2 billion [6] - This results in a FCF yield of less than 0.5%, indicating a dividend yield of 0.46% if all adjusted FCF were distributed to shareholders [6] - With a potential adjusted FCF of $2.69 billion in 2026, this represents a 34.5% increase from the high-end estimate of $2 billion for 2025 [5]