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HOLX vs. TMO: Which Diagnostic Giant Is the Stronger Buy Today?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-22 14:25
Core Insights - Hologic and Thermo Fisher Scientific are key players in the diagnostics market, each with distinct strengths and market focuses [1][2] Hologic Overview - Hologic specializes in molecular diagnostic assays for infectious diseases, particularly in women's health, with a market cap of $14.75 billion [1] - The company has seen strong growth in its Molecular Diagnostics segment, particularly with the BV, CV/TV assay, which has become its second-largest test globally since its launch in 2019 [3] - Hologic's Breast Health business is recovering, with expectations to return to growth by Q4 of fiscal 2025, aided by new leadership and innovations [4] - The company has a strong GYN Surgical portfolio and has expanded its fibroid treatment offerings through the acquisition of Gynesonics [5] - Hologic maintains a solid financial position with $1.88 billion in cash and short-term investments and a net leverage ratio of 0.6 [6] - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.03-$1.04 billion and adjusted EPS to $1.09-$1.12, despite facing cost pressures from tariffs [7] Thermo Fisher Overview - Thermo Fisher, valued at $181.10 billion, offers a wide range of diagnostic products and services across various sectors, including healthcare and food safety [2] - The company is experiencing growth in its bioproduction and pharma services, supported by significant innovations and product launches [8] - Thermo Fisher's capital deployment strategy includes strategic acquisitions and shareholder returns, with recent acquisitions aimed at enhancing its bioproduction capabilities [11] - The company has projected revenues between $43.6 and $44.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $22.22-$22.84 for the full year, both raised from prior estimates [13] Performance Comparison - Over the last six months, Hologic's stock has increased by 4.2%, while Thermo Fisher's stock has decreased by 7.7% [9][16] - Hologic's shares are trading at a forward five-year P/E of 14.41X, compared to Thermo Fisher's P/E of 20.12X, indicating a more favorable valuation for Hologic [17] - Analysts project a year-over-year EPS growth of 3.7% for Hologic, while Thermo Fisher's EPS is expected to improve by 3% [19][21] Investment Outlook - Both companies exhibit strong fundamentals and financial stability, with Hologic showing resilience in its growth areas and Thermo Fisher focusing on innovation and market expansion [22]
Hologic (HOLX) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 22:00
Summary of Hologic Conference Call Company Overview - Hologic is a medical technology company focused on women's health care with market-leading products in various franchises [3][4] - The company operates in three divisions: Diagnostics, Breast Health, and Surgical, with Diagnostics being the largest [5][6] Financial Performance - Hologic ended fiscal Q2 with $1.6 billion in cash and investments and a leverage ratio of less than one [5] - Approximately 80% of revenue is recurring, derived from consumables and services [5] - Revenue growth over the past ten years has been just under 5%, while earnings have grown over 10% [7] - The company aims for mid-single-digit revenue growth and double-digit earnings growth moving forward [8][32] Key Business Segments Diagnostics - The Diagnostics division has grown 6.4% over the last decade, with molecular diagnostics seeing significant growth [8][9] - The Panther platform is central to the molecular business, with over 3,300 units placed, nearly doubling during COVID [10][12] - The biotherapeutics asset acquired in 2021 has grown from $35 million to approximately $125 million in revenue [13] Breast Health - Hologic holds over 80% market share in 3D mammography in the U.S. and is expanding internationally [15][16] - Service revenue has nearly doubled over the last ten years, largely due to the installed base of gantry systems [15] - Recent acquisitions, such as Endomagnetics, enhance the breast health portfolio [14] Surgical - The Surgical division has grown at a CAGR of 7.6% over the last decade, driven by minimally invasive treatments for fibroids [16][17] - The company aims to reduce the average wait time of 3.5 years for women to receive treatment for fibroids [18] Market Opportunities and Challenges - Hologic is primarily U.S.-focused, with only 25% of revenue coming from international markets, presenting growth opportunities [6][24] - Challenges include the lack of screening programs in many countries outside the U.S. and the cessation of USAID funding affecting the HIV business in Sub-Saharan Africa, which was a $50 million annual revenue stream [31][32] Strategic Initiatives - Hologic emphasizes a "virtuous circle" of innovation, revenue growth, and market expansion [19] - The company has invested significantly in share repurchases ($3.6 billion) and M&A ($2 billion) [28] - Future growth will be supported by new product innovations, including the BVCV assay and the next-generation Envision platform [26][24] Employee Engagement and Corporate Responsibility - Hologic has a highly engaged workforce with a 99th percentile rating related to its mission of championing women's health [20] - The company partners with Gallup for a Global Women's Health Index to measure and improve women's health outcomes [21] - Hologic has been a title sponsor of the WTA, promoting equal pay for female athletes [22] Outlook - The company anticipates returning to growth in the second half of the fiscal year, with improvements in the breast health business [30] - Long-term guidance includes mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin expansion to support double-digit earnings growth [32]
Hologic(HOLX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-01 22:47
Company Overview - Hologic operates across three segments: Diagnostics (44%), Breast and Skeletal Health (40%), and Surgical (16%) [14] - The company's revenue is primarily driven by consumables (62%), followed by capital (19%) and service & other (19%) [14] - The US market accounts for 75% of Hologic's revenue, while international markets contribute 25% [14] Financial Performance and Growth - Hologic has demonstrated mid-single-digit total sales growth [17] - The company has achieved double-digit non-GAAP EPS growth [19] - Q2'25 revenue was $1,005.3 million, a decrease of 1.2% compared to Q2'24 [69, 71] - Hologic forecasts full year 2025 revenue between $4,050 million and $4,100 million, representing a 0.5% to 1.7% increase [74] - The company anticipates full year 2025 non-GAAP diluted EPS between $4.15 and $4.25, a 1.7% to 4.2% increase [74] Strategic Focus and International Expansion - Hologic aims to continue double-digit non-GAAP EPS growth, driven by mid-single-digit revenue growth, operating margin expansion, acquisitions, and buybacks [77] - International revenue has grown from $533 million in 2014 to $999 million in 2024 [51]