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Domino's Q3 Earnings on Deck: Strong Sales, Softer Profits?
ZACKS· 2025-10-10 14:11
Core Insights - Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 14, with earnings estimates at $3.99 per share, reflecting a 4.8% decrease from the prior year [1][2][9] - The company has experienced mixed earnings results in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 3.6% [1] Q3 Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $1.14 billion, indicating a growth of 5.4% from the previous year [2] - Year-over-year same-store sales growth is expected at 5.1% for U.S. company-owned stores and 6.5% for franchise stores, with international comps projected to increase by 1% [6] Factors Influencing Performance - The launch of the Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza has driven traffic and increased average ticket size [3] - Expansion of delivery partnerships, particularly with DoorDash, has broadened customer reach and boosted delivery volumes [3] - The revamped Domino's Rewards program has attracted new users and increased visit frequency, contributing to strong same-store sales momentum [4] Market Dynamics - Strong performance in markets like India, Canada, and Mexico has countered macroeconomic uncertainties [5] - Record-high average order volumes in the U.S. carryout segment have reinforced the company's growth strategy [5] Profitability Considerations - Despite top-line growth, profitability may be pressured by food cost inflation and higher utility expenses [7] - The company's strategy of pricing below broader food inflation to maintain value perception may impact margin rates [7] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Domino's, with an Earnings ESP of -2.10% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [8][10]
Can Domino's New Menu Additions Boost Average Ticket Size?
ZACKS· 2025-08-15 16:15
Core Insights - Domino's Pizza, Inc. is utilizing menu innovation, particularly the Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza, to enhance customer traffic and increase average order sizes [1][3] - The premium crust option has a higher price point, contributing to average ticket growth, with same-store sales in the U.S. rising by 3.4% in Q2 2025, driven by a 1.4 percentage point increase from pricing [2][7] - Operational execution, including significant training investments, has been crucial for the successful launch of the new product, receiving the highest consumer praise since the "New and Inspired" pizza [3][7] Strategic Initiatives - The introduction of the Parmesan Stuffed Crust is part of Domino's broader "Hungry for MORE" strategy, which includes loyalty program enhancements and expanded delivery partnerships [4] - If current performance trends persist, the Stuffed Crust could serve as a sustainable contributor to ticket growth, aiding Domino's in capturing market share within a stagnant QSR pizza category [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Papa John's and Pizza Hut are also focusing on menu innovation to drive ticket growth, with Papa John's promoting premium crust options and Pizza Hut leveraging stuffed crust as a core product with indulgent variations [5][6] - To compete effectively, Domino's must maintain product quality, strong marketing, and value positioning to sustain its recent momentum in ticket sizes [6]
Domino's Pizza Posts 5.5% EPS Decline
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-23 01:49
Core Insights - Domino's Pizza reported modest misses on revenue and earnings per share for Q2 2025, with revenue at $1,145.1 million, slightly below analyst estimates, and diluted EPS at $3.81, missing the consensus estimate of $3.94 [1][5] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 2025 was $1.15 billion, a 4.3% increase from $1.10 billion in Q2 2024 [2] - Diluted EPS was $3.81, down 5.5% from $4.03 a year ago [2] - Income from operations rose to $225.0 million, a 14.8% increase from $196.1 million in the previous year [2] - Net income decreased to $131.1 million, down 7.7% from $141.98 million in Q2 2024 [2] - Global retail sales growth (excluding foreign exchange) was 5.6%, a decline of 1.6 percentage points from 7.2% in the prior year [2] Operational Highlights - Same store sales in the U.S. increased by 3.4%, below the 4.8% gain from the previous year, while international same store sales grew by 2.4% [6] - The U.S. store base expanded by 30 net units, and international operations added 148 net stores [6] - The company completed the roll-out on DoorDash and Uber Eats, enhancing delivery volumes [7] Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on expanding digital platforms, which now account for over 85% of U.S. retail sales, and menu innovation [4] - Key success factors include maintaining supply chain quality, rapid global store growth, and technological innovations [4] - Menu innovation includes the introduction of the Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza, aimed at increasing average order value [11] Shareholder Returns - The company repurchased 315,696 shares for a total of $150 million and declared a quarterly dividend of $1.74 per share [10] Future Outlook - Management expects U.S. same store sales to rise by 3% in the second half of the year, with international same store sales growth projected between 1% and 2% [13] - Net domestic unit growth is targeted at approximately 175 stores, with an operating profit growth target of about 8% [13] - Leadership maintained a measured view on forward-looking targets amid ongoing food cost inflation and competitive pricing activity [14]
Domino's® Launches Weeklong Carryout Special
Prnewswire· 2025-06-02 11:07
Core Points - Domino's Pizza Inc. is offering a special deal on large two-topping carryout pizzas for $6.99 each from June 2-8, 2025 [1][2] - The promotion is aimed at summer gatherings, including graduation parties and sports events, highlighting the value of the offer [2] - The deal includes various crust options, and customers can upgrade to a new Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza for an additional $3 [2] Company Overview - Founded in 1960, Domino's Pizza is the largest pizza company globally, with over 21,300 stores in more than 90 markets [4] - The company reported global retail sales exceeding $19.2 billion in the trailing four quarters ending March 23, 2025 [4] - Independent franchise owners operate 99% of Domino's stores, and over 85% of U.S. retail sales in 2024 were generated through digital channels [4]
DPZ vs PZZA: Which Pizza Stock Is Better Placed at the Moment?
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 14:40
Core Insights - Both Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) and Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) are significant players in the U.S. pizza market, benefiting from strategic partnerships and digital transformation [1][2] - The restaurant industry is experiencing growth due to higher menu pricing and average check growth, although challenges such as elevated labor costs and food inflation persist [3] Domino's Pizza (DPZ) - Domino's is a leading player in the U.S. quick-service restaurant industry, with strong international growth, particularly in China and India [4] - The partnership with DoorDash is expected to enhance revenues by expanding the customer base and tapping into a $1 billion opportunity in the aggregator marketplace [5] - The introduction of the Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza represents a significant menu innovation aimed at attracting customers [6] - The revamped loyalty program has added 2.5 million active members, indicating potential for sustained growth [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Domino's 2025 sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 4.9% and 6.5%, respectively [11] - DPZ stock has gained 3.6% in the past six months, outperforming the industry and S&P 500 [13] - DPZ is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26.2X, above its median of 25.47X [15] Papa John's (PZZA) - Papa John's focuses on its core product, pizza, and has implemented a barbell pricing strategy to drive orders, resulting in a 4% year-over-year increase in pizza orders [8] - The company operates 2,503 international locations and plans to open 180 to 200 new units in the full year [9] - The loyalty program overhaul aims to enhance engagement among its 37 million members, with plans for further personalization [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Papa John's 2025 sales implies a year-over-year increase of 2.1%, but EPS is expected to decrease by 23.9% [12] - PZZA shares have declined 12% in the past six months [13] - PZZA's forward earnings multiple is 21.64X, below its median of 18.75X [15] Conclusion - Domino's is currently better positioned than Papa John's, supported by stronger sales momentum, strategic growth initiatives, and positive investor sentiment [17] - Papa John's faces operational challenges and less favorable earnings revisions, impacting its competitive stance [19]