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Visa vs. Mastercard: Which Payments Giant Looks More Attractive Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 19:51
Core Insights - The payments industry is increasingly transitioning to digital, cross-border, and real-time transactions, with Visa Inc. and Mastercard Incorporated leading in global financial transaction services [1] - Both companies are expanding their value-added services, but their growth trajectories differ due to variations in scale and regional revenue mix [2] Visa - Visa has a market cap of $593.6 billion, benefiting from extensive penetration in consumer, commercial, and cross-border transactions, which supports resilient revenue growth [3] - In the fiscal fourth quarter, Visa's payment volume grew by 9% year over year, with processed transactions increasing to 67.7 billion, a 10% rise, and cross-border volume growing by 12% [4] - Value-added services now contribute nearly 30% of Visa's revenues, growing in the mid-20s, with investments in AI-driven fraud prevention and blockchain technologies [5] - Visa maintains a strong cash position of $17.2 billion, allowing for significant share buybacks and dividends, returning $6.1 billion to shareholders in the fiscal fourth quarter [6] - Adjusted operating expenses rose by 13.1% year over year in the fourth quarter, and regulatory risks are present in the U.S. and Europe [7] Mastercard - Mastercard has a market cap of $477.5 billion and operates a secure global payments network, with net revenues increasing by 17% year over year in the third quarter of 2025 [10][11] - The company reported a 25% year-over-year growth in value-added services, driven by strategic acquisitions and strong performance in security and digital authentication [11] - Mastercard is investing in tokenization, cybersecurity, and AI-powered solutions, while balancing innovation with shareholder returns [12][13] - Adjusted operating expenses increased by 15% year over year in the third quarter, with an expected rise of 15.8% in 2025 [14] - The consensus estimate for Mastercard's 2025 EPS indicates a 12.5% year-over-year growth, with no recent earnings estimate revisions [16] Valuation and Performance - Visa's forward P/E ratio is 24.44X, compared to Mastercard's 27.68X, making Visa's valuation more attractive [17] - Over the past three months, Visa has experienced less value loss than Mastercard and the broader industry [18] - Both companies are ranked 3 (Hold) by Zacks, but Visa's larger scale, higher margins, and more attractive valuation suggest greater growth potential [21]