Core Thesis - Peloton Interactive, Inc. is undergoing a significant transformation under new CEO Peter Stern, focusing on profitability and strategic overhaul, with a new product line aimed at enhancing user experience and engagement [2][4][5] Product Innovation - The introduction of the Peloton Cross Training Series features AI-assisted workouts, upgraded hardware, and a built-in movement tracking camera, promoting cross-training and personalized health plans through "Peloton IQ" [2][3] - AI integration is expected to reduce localization costs by translating and dubbing content for international markets [3] Business Model Restructuring - Peloton has shifted its retail model from large stores to smaller mall kiosks and launched "Peloton Repowered" for used equipment [3] - The commercial arm, Precor, is being repositioned to target gyms, hotels, and corporate clients with the new Peloton Pro Series line [3] Market Positioning and Financial Outlook - Stern has repositioned Peloton from a fitness brand to a broader "health and wellness" platform, expanding its addressable market [4] - Despite conservative FY2026 guidance of $2.5 billion in revenue and $425 million in EBITDA, management plans an additional $100 million in cost cuts, indicating potential for outperformance [5] - Peloton raised hardware and subscription prices by 15-20%, expected to add approximately $160 million in EBITDA annually [4] Engagement and Retention - Engagement metrics remain strong, with cancellation rates lower than Netflix's, and subscribers using multiple workout types showing significantly higher retention [4] Investment Sentiment - Peloton is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 53 hedge fund portfolios holding PTON at the end of Q2, up from 52 in the previous quarter [7] - While Peloton shows potential, certain AI stocks are viewed as having greater upside potential and less downside risk [7]

Peloton (NasdaqGS:PTON) 2025 Conference December 03, 2025 01:30 PM ET Company ParticipantsPeter Stern - CEOConference Call ParticipantsNathan Feather - Small and Mid-Cap Internet AnalystNathan FeatherHi. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you so much for joining us. My name is Nathan Feather. I'm Morgan Stanley's Small and Mid-Cap Internet Analyst. I'm excited to be joined today by Peter Stern, CEO of Peloton. Thanks so much for joining us.Peter SternThanks for having me, Nathan.Nathan FeatherYeah. Now, before ...

Core Insights - Peloton has partnered with the Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix to create exclusive fitness programming during the race weekend, marking a unique collaboration between the fitness and racing industries [1][7]. Group 1: Event Collaboration - Peloton will host a series of live classes at the Awakening Theatre at Wynn Las Vegas, featuring a mix of Cardio and Strength programming led by Peloton instructors [2]. - The collaboration includes the introduction of a Formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix 2025 Class Collection on Peloton's platform, allowing members to access recorded classes from the event [2][3]. Group 2: Exclusive Content - Peloton will capture exclusive Scenic content, enabling members to virtually experience the Las Vegas Strip Circuit from their Peloton Bike or Tread [3]. - The Las Vegas Grand Prix Scenic experience will feature a 3.8-mile track with 17 high-speed turns, available exclusively on the Peloton platform [3]. Group 3: Marketing and Promotion - Peloton's marketing strategy includes high-impact media placements throughout the race weekend, promoting its new Cross Training Series and enhancing brand visibility [6]. - The partnership aims to merge the high-energy environments of racing and fitness, appealing to both communities and creating innovative fitness experiences [7]. Group 4: Upcoming Class Schedule - Specific classes recorded during the event include a 30-minute ride and run with Peloton instructors, available on the platform starting November 24 [5].

Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. reported better-than-expected Q1 results, leading to a rise in its stock price [1] Q1 Results - The company reported quarterly earnings of $0.03 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.01 [2] - Quarterly revenue reached $550.8 million, exceeding the Street estimate of $539.81 million [2] Fiscal Guidance - Peloton raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $2.49 billion to $2.5 billion, above the analyst estimate of $2.45 billion [3] - CEO Peter Stern emphasized the company's disciplined execution leading up to new product launches [3] Analyst Insights - JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth noted Peloton's successful cost-cutting measures and operational efficiencies, predicting a return to growth in the second half of the year [4] - JPMorgan maintained a Neutral rating with a price target of $9, acknowledging industry challenges [5] - Truist Securities analyst Youssef Squali maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $11 to $12 [6] - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey maintained a Market Perform rating with a $9 price target [6] Stock Performance - Peloton shares increased by 9.31% to $7.33 on Friday afternoon [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q1 was $551 million, comprising $152 million from connected fitness products and $398 million from subscription revenue, outperforming guidance by $6 million [19] - Paid connected fitness subscriptions decreased by 6% year-over-year to 2.732 million, with average net monthly churn improving to 1.6%, a 20 basis point improvement year-over-year [18][19] - Total gross profit was $284 million, a decrease of 7% year-over-year, with total gross margin at 51.5%, down 30 basis points year-over-year [20][21] - Adjusted EBITDA was $118 million, a 2% improvement year-over-year, and free cash flow increased to $67 million, significantly outperforming prior expectations [24][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Connected fitness products revenue decreased by $7 million, or 5% year-over-year, while subscription revenue decreased by $28 million, or 7% year-over-year [19] - Connected fitness products gross margin was 6.9%, negatively impacted by a $13.5 million inventory accrual, but would have been 15.8% excluding this charge [21][57] - Subscription gross margin increased to 68.6%, an 80 basis point improvement year-over-year [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The connected fitness market in the U.S. is still declining year-over-year, but the rate of decline has decelerated to low single digits [50] - The overall wellness economy in the U.S. is estimated to exceed $2 trillion, indicating a significant market opportunity beyond connected fitness [52] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on product innovation, wellness expansion, and new distribution channels, including a new retail partnership with Johnson Fitness and Wellness [12][13] - The launch of the Peloton Cross Training Series and Peloton IQ aims to enhance member engagement and outcomes, with a shift towards premium products [9][10] - The company is committed to operational discipline and business excellence, targeting at least $100 million in run rate cost savings by the end of fiscal 2026 [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving positive operating income on a full-year basis in fiscal 2026, despite external challenges [32] - The anticipated financial impact of the recent recall is reflected in the guidance, with expectations for a small drag on subscriptions but overall revenue impact expected to be immaterial [4][40] - The company remains focused on execution and believes it offers an unmatched ecosystem of products and experiences to help members invest in their health and well-being [16] Other Important Information - The company has expanded its retail presence significantly, now having 10 micro stores in the U.S. and a retail presence in 46 states [12] - The acquisition of Breathwork aims to enhance mental fitness offerings, which are now included in all-access subscriptions [10][11] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the market opportunity for the new commercial business unit? - Management highlighted a large market opportunity with low share and emphasized the strategic combination of Precor's commercial-grade equipment and Peloton's software and community [32][33] Question: Are there any plans in the next five years to provide for dividends? - Management indicated it is early to discuss dividends but emphasized the importance of deleveraging and maximizing capital allocation options in the future [35][36] Question: Can you compare the recent recall to the previous one? - Management explained that the recent recall was based on different models and incidents, with a small anticipated headwind to paid connected fitness net churn due to elevated subscription pauses [38][40] Question: How do you see churn normalizing post-price increase? - Management noted that while there was an initial spike in cancellations, churn has moderated back to normal levels, with expectations for flat churn over the year despite a temporary increase in Q2 [41][44] Question: What is the overall demand environment? - Management acknowledged continued softness in connected fitness equipment demand but remains optimistic about long-term growth potential in the wellness economy [50][52]

Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. is enhancing its digital strategy and product offerings with AI-powered personal coaching and a broader range of wellness content [2][3] - The company is launching the Peloton Cross Training Series, which includes new base and premium equipment designed for cross-training [2][3] Product and Features Overview - Peloton has updated its entire product lineup with the Cross Training Series, featuring five fitness machines: Cross Training Bike, Bike+, Tread, Tread+, and Row+ [4] - Each new model includes a swivel screen, faster processors, stronger WiFi and Bluetooth, enhanced sound, hands-free voice control, and an integrated three-speed fan [5] - Peloton IQ, available on Cross Training Series Plus models, offers personalized fitness through adaptive weekly plans, real-time insights, and form correction via a built-in camera [6] Wellness Expansion - Peloton is broadening its wellness offerings to include recovery, mental health, and specialty medical programs through new collaborations [7] - Future partnerships include an eight-week program with Halle Berry's Respin Health focusing on menopause and a musculoskeletal injury prevention program with the Hospital for Special Surgery [7] Financial Performance - Peloton's shares have increased by 37.1% over the past three months, contrasting with a 0.2% decline in the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Products industry [8] - In Q4 2025, Peloton reported 552,000 paid app subscriptions and total revenues of $607 million, exceeding guidance by $21 million [9]