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AI、先进逻辑驱动扩产需求爆发,存储芯片持续高景气,上游半导体设备景气度攀升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 01:08
Group 1 - The semiconductor equipment industry has shown strong performance due to high demand in storage and the expansion of wafer fabs, with the semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) rising by 1.92% on December 23, and the index up 64.76% year-to-date, ranking first among major semiconductor indices [1][2] - The U.S. government has postponed the implementation of tariffs on Chinese semiconductors until mid-2027, maintaining a zero tariff rate in the short term, which reflects China's growing importance in the semiconductor industry [3] - As of mid-December 2025, 35 of the top 100 semiconductor companies globally are from China, Taiwan, and Hong Kong, indicating China's transition from a "follower" to a "key player" in the semiconductor sector [3] Group 2 - The global semiconductor manufacturing equipment sales are projected to reach $133 billion in 2025, a 13.7% increase year-on-year, with continued growth expected in the following years, reaching $145 billion in 2026 and $156 billion in 2027 [3][4] - AI-related investments are driving growth in the semiconductor equipment market, particularly in advanced logic chips, memory chips, and advanced packaging technologies [4] - Domestic GPU development is expected to accelerate with companies like Muxi and Moore Threads entering the capital market, which may boost demand for integrated circuit manufacturing, equipment, and materials [5] Group 3 - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the China Securities Semiconductor Index, with nearly 60% of its components related to equipment, and over 90% in the upstream sectors of the semiconductor industry [5] - Key holdings in the ETF include leading companies such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, Cambricon, SMIC, Haiguang Information, Tuojing Technology, and Nanda Optoelectronics, with a concentration of nearly 80% in the top ten stocks [5]