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STNE vs. PYPL: Why StoneCo Offers More Upside Than PayPal Currently
ZACKSยท 2025-06-24 20:14
Core Insights - StoneCo (STNE) and PayPal (PYPL) are leading fintech companies focusing on digital payments, with StoneCo primarily in Latin America and PayPal operating globally [1] - Both companies are expanding their services beyond core payments to include value-added financial services for merchants and consumers [1] Performance Comparison - Over the past 30 days, StoneCo shares increased by 12.7%, outperforming the broader sector's 4.9% gain and the S&P 500's 2.8% rise, while PayPal shares rose by 3.1% [5][7] StoneCo's Competitive Advantages - StoneCo is leveraging localized execution and operational discipline in Brazil, enhancing customer experience through product innovation and expanding its acquiring infrastructure [6][8] - The company has identified R$3 billion in excess capital and has returned approximately R$1 billion year-to-date through aggressive share repurchase programs, with a total of R$2.4 billion in buybacks over the past 12 months [8] PayPal's Strategic Transformation - Under CEO Alex Chriss, PayPal is undergoing a cultural shift that emphasizes agility and product focus, leading to improvements in core product innovation and branded checkout experiences [9][12] - Despite progress, PayPal faces challenges in unbranded checkout and mobile market share losses, particularly against competitors like Apple Pay and Shopify [12] Valuation Analysis - StoneCo is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.80, significantly below its five-year median of 20.76, while PayPal's forward P/E is 13.46, also below its five-year median of 20.62 [15] - Both companies are undervalued compared to the sector's forward P/E of 25.96, with StoneCo trading at a greater discount relative to both PayPal and the sector [15] Investment Outlook - StoneCo is highlighted as a strong buy due to its innovation, disciplined capital allocation, and favorable valuation, while PayPal is rated as a hold amid ongoing transformation challenges [17][18] - The strategic execution of StoneCo in Brazil's expanding digital economy, along with robust shareholder returns, presents a more immediate upside potential compared to PayPal [18]