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Does LYFT's Gross Booking Growth Justify a Buy Decision on the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 15:46
Core Insights - Lyft is experiencing growth in driver supply and active riders, with gross bookings increasing for 18 consecutive quarters, indicating a strong customer-friendly strategy [1][4]. Q3 2025 Results - Quarterly earnings per share were 26 cents, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 30 cents, and down 10.3% year-over-year [3]. - Revenues reached $1.68 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $1.70 billion but showing an 11% year-over-year increase [3]. - Gross bookings hit $4.78 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, marking an all-time high [4]. - Rides grew by 15% year-over-year to 248.8 million, achieving double-digit growth for the tenth consecutive quarter [4]. - Active riders increased by 18% year-over-year to 28.7 million [4]. - Adjusted EBITDA was $138.9 million, up 29% from the previous year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.9% compared to 2.6% in the prior year [4]. Q4 2025 Outlook - Lyft anticipates mid-to-high teens year-over-year growth in rides for Q4 2025, driven by strong service levels and rider engagement [6]. - Gross bookings are expected to grow by 17-20% year-over-year, reaching between $5.01 billion and $5.13 billion [7]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $135 million and $155 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 2.7-3% [7]. Stock Performance - Lyft's shares have gained in double digits over the past month, outperforming the Zacks Internet Services industry and competitors like Uber and DoorDash [8][10]. Autonomous Vehicle Initiatives - Lyft has partnered with Waymo to introduce fully autonomous ride-hailing services in Nashville by 2026, leveraging its fleet-management capabilities [12][13]. - Additional partnerships with May Mobility, Mobileye Global, and Nexar highlight Lyft's commitment to the autonomous vehicle market [14]. Price Lock Feature - Lyft's Price Lock feature allows users to avoid surge pricing during peak hours for a monthly fee of $2.99, resulting in increased ride frequency among users [15][16]. Share Buyback Program - Lyft has increased its share repurchase program to $750 million, with plans to utilize $500 million within the next 12 months, supported by strong cash flow generation exceeding $1 billion [17]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lyft's 2025 and 2026 sales indicates year-over-year increases of 12.3% and 14.6%, respectively, with EPS estimates reflecting a 25.3% and 25.9% uptick [18]. Valuation - Lyft is trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 1.2, lower than competitors Uber and DoorDash, indicating a compelling valuation [19]. Investment Opportunity - With strong gross bookings momentum, strategic partnerships in the autonomous vehicle market, and appealing valuation metrics, Lyft is positioned as an attractive investment opportunity [22][23].
Is LYFT's Cheap Valuation Reason Enough to Invest in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 16:51
Core Insights - Lyft (LYFT) shares are currently trading at a discount compared to its peers in the Zacks Internet Services industry, with a forward 12-month P/S ratio of 1.22X versus the industry's 6.44X, indicating a Value Score of B for LYFT [1][8] - The company has shown consistent growth in gross bookings, with a 12% year-over-year increase to $4.5 billion in Q2 2025, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [4][8] - Lyft's share buyback program has been expanded to $750 million, supported by strong cash flow generation of $993 million over the trailing 12 months [6][9] Factors Working in Favor of Lyft - Gross Booking Growth: Lyft's gross bookings are benefiting from a growing active rider base, market expansion, and the success of the "Price Lock" feature, which allows users to avoid surge pricing [3][5] - Price Lock Feature: The introduction of the Price Lock feature has led to increased demand for ride-hailing services, particularly during weekdays as return-to-office trends gain momentum [5] - Share Buyback Strategy: The increase in the share repurchase program to $750 million reflects management's commitment to returning value to shareholders [6][9] Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lyft's 2025 and 2026 sales indicates year-over-year increases of 12.8% and 14.3%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending upward [10] - Lyft's cash flow generation of $993 million supports its buyback strategy and overall financial health [9] Challenges and Headwinds - Tariff Tensions: Ongoing trade war concerns are negatively impacting Lyft's stock performance and creating market volatility [12][13] - Earnings History: Lyft has missed earnings estimates in two of the last four quarters, raising concerns about its financial stability [15] - High Debt Load: The company's times interest earned ratio of 4.9 is lower than industry standards, indicating potential risks related to debt obligations [15][17]