Core Viewpoint - TKO Group Holdings reported quarterly earnings of $1.17 per share, missing the consensus estimate of $1.23 per share, but showing an increase from $0.72 per share a year ago [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $1.31 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.78%, compared to $851.2 million in the same quarter last year [3] - TKO Group has surpassed consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters [3] Stock Performance - TKO Group shares have increased approximately 15% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.1% [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance in the near future [7] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.59 on revenues of $1.1 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.83 on revenues of $4.55 billion [8] - The estimate revisions trend for TKO Group was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, which may impact future stock performance [7] Industry Context - The Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, to which TKO Group belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9]

Company Overview - TKO Group Holdings (TKO) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings due to higher revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with a consensus outlook indicating a quarterly earnings of $1.23 per share, representing a +70.8% change, and revenues expected to be $1.2 billion, up 41.3% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 5.69% higher over the last 30 days, reflecting a reassessment by covering analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for TKO Group is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -48.11%, indicating a bearish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - TKO Group currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TKO Group had an earnings surprise of +43.75%, with actual earnings of $0.69 per share compared to an expected $0.48 [13]. - Over the last four quarters, TKO Group has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, Cinemark Holdings (CNK) is expected to post earnings of $0.78 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of +143.8%, with revenues expected to be $947.59 million, up 29.1% [18][19].

Group 1 - TKO Group Holdings reported quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 per share, compared to earnings of $2.14 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise for the quarter was 43.75%, and the company had a previous quarter surprise of 52.17% with earnings of $0.35 per share against an expectation of $0.23 [2] - TKO Group's revenues for the quarter reached $1.27 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 14.17%, and this is a significant increase from $629.7 million in the same quarter last year [3] Group 2 - The stock has increased approximately 19.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has declined by 4.3% [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.19 on revenues of $1.26 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.41 on revenues of $4.71 billion [8] - The Film and Television Production and Distribution industry, to which TKO Group belongs, is currently ranked in the top 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [9]

Core Viewpoint - TKO Group Holdings is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show earnings of $0.48 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decrease of 77.6%, while revenues are projected to reach $1.11 billion, an increase of 76.5% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.56% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates a negative Earnings ESP of -52.41%, suggesting that analysts have lowered their expectations for TKO Group's earnings [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, TKO Group exceeded the expected earnings of $0.23 per share by delivering $0.35, resulting in a surprise of +52.17%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [12][13]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, TKO Group does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for exceeding earnings expectations, and investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [16].