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2 Falling Knives That Might Be Worth Catching
MarketBeat· 2025-09-16 17:41
Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk Inc. and Duolingo Inc. have experienced significant declines in their stock prices, raising questions about their investment potential amidst a generally bullish market environment [1][3]. Group 1: The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) - The Trade Desk's stock has fallen over 50% since its Q2 earnings report in August, closing around $45, down from a high of $141.53 [3][4]. - Concerns about slowing growth have led to bearish analyst updates, including a downgrade from Morgan Stanley, which highlighted doubts about the company's ability to sustain previous growth rates [4][7]. - Despite the negative sentiment, some analysts, like those at Needham, maintain a Buy rating with a price target of $80, suggesting a potential upside of nearly 80% from current levels [7]. Group 2: Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) - Duolingo's stock has also halved since early June, with current trading around $278.40, down from a 52-week high of $544.93 [8]. - The decline is attributed to fears of slowing engagement growth and competition from AI-powered rivals, although some analysts, like KeyCorp, have upgraded the stock to Overweight with a price target of $460, citing ongoing growth drivers [9][10]. - Zacks Research recently upgraded Duolingo to a Strong Buy, indicating a more favorable technical position compared to The Trade Desk, with an RSI of around 40 [10].
Down 55%, Should You Buy the Dip on The Trade Desk?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-24 12:30
Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk is experiencing significant challenges in 2025, with a 55% drop in stock value year-to-date due to competitive pressures and execution issues [3][5][14] Company Performance - The Trade Desk's Q1 revenue increased by 25% year-over-year, but Q2 revenue growth slowed to 19%, with earnings per share rising only slightly to $0.39 [5][6] - The company's guidance for the current quarter indicates a further deceleration in revenue growth to 14%, with expected revenue of $717 million and adjusted EBITDA forecasted at $277 million, an 8% year-over-year improvement [7][12] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Amazon and Meta Platforms are reporting strong growth, with Amazon's advertising business growing 23% year-over-year to $15.7 billion, and Meta's revenue increasing by 22% [8][11] - Amazon's recent deal with Roku to expand in the connected TV advertising space poses a direct threat to The Trade Desk, which relies on this market for growth [9] Valuation Concerns - The Trade Desk is trading at 66 times trailing earnings, which is double the average price-to-earnings ratio of the Nasdaq-100 index, raising concerns about the stock's valuation amidst slowing revenue growth [14] - Analysts predict only an 8% improvement in earnings to $1.79 per share this year, with a return to double-digit growth expected in 2026 [12]
4 Growth Stocks Down 20% or More to Buy Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-26 13:45
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential of growth stocks that have recently experienced significant declines in value, presenting them as attractive investment opportunities for long-term portfolios [1][3]. Group 1: Market Overview - Growth stocks are appealing for investors aiming to achieve financial goals quickly, although some may prefer dividend-paying stocks [1]. - Recent market downturns have led to attractive valuations for certain growth stocks, with some companies experiencing share price drops of at least 20% over the past month [3]. Group 2: Company Analysis - **Block (formerly Square)**: - The stock has fallen significantly, nearing its 2018 price, with a recent revenue growth of only 4.5% year over year, but earnings per share (EPS) increased by 51% [5][4]. - **The Trade Desk**: - Despite a 41% drop in stock price following a disappointing earnings report, the company reported a 22% year-over-year revenue increase and a 44% rise in non-GAAP income [6][7]. - The CEO acknowledged execution missteps but expressed optimism due to increasing ad placements in streaming services [8]. - **Accenture**: - This professional services giant has seen its stock decline nearly 20% over the past year, but it has a strong historical performance with annual gains of 16.5% over the past five years [10]. - Recent earnings showed a drop in new bookings growth, but the company is investing in new technology and has a growing dividend yield of 1.8% [11]. - **MongoDB**: - The company reported a 20% year-over-year revenue increase, with its cloud platform, Atlas, contributing 71% of the revenue [12]. - Concerns exist regarding customer spending in the current economic climate, but the company is investing in artificial intelligence [12][13]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Each of the discussed companies presents potential for above-average gains in the long term, despite current market challenges [13]. - For investors uncertain about selecting individual stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) focused on growth may be a viable alternative [13].
1 Unstoppable Stock Down Over 60% That I'm Buying Like There's No Tomorrow
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-23 08:14
Core Viewpoint - The recent market sell-off has created attractive buying opportunities for long-term investors, particularly in growth stocks like The Trade Desk, which has seen significant price declines despite its long-term potential [1][2]. Company Overview - The Trade Desk operates in the programmatic advertising platform sector, assisting ad buyers in placing ads effectively across various media, including podcasts, videos, and connected TV [3][4]. Recent Performance - The Trade Desk experienced a significant decline in stock price, approximately 60% down from its all-time high, following a disappointing Q4 earnings report where revenue fell short of projections [5][8]. - In Q4, The Trade Desk reported revenue of $741 million, missing the guidance of $756 million, and projected a revenue of $575 million for Q1, indicating a 17% growth slowdown [5][6]. Management Insights - Management acknowledged execution mistakes during Q4, attributing some challenges to a platform transition from Solimar to Kokai, expected to complete by 2025 [6]. - CEO Jeff Green expressed confidence in the long-term market potential despite short-term execution issues, likening the situation to a championship team facing challenges in a specific game [6][7]. Market Opportunity - The shift towards streaming services presents a substantial opportunity for programmatic advertising, allowing targeted ads to replace traditional broad-reaching advertisements [4]. - The Trade Desk's long-term growth potential remains strong, with expectations to capture a significant market share despite current valuation concerns [9][10]. Investment Perspective - The current stock price presents a rare buying opportunity, as The Trade Desk has lost its premium valuation, making it more attractive for long-term investors [8][10]. - A forward earnings valuation of 30 times is considered a better price compared to previous months, suggesting potential for growth into this valuation [9].