December Quarter 2025 Results March 19, 2026 Disclaimer On AI + Cloud Businesses, Note: (1) Excluding revenue from the disposed businesses of Sun Art and Intime on a like-for-like basis. This presentation contains certain financial measures that are not recognized under generally accepted accounting principles in the United States ("GAAP"), including but not limited to adjusted EBITDA (including adjusted EBITDA margin), adjusted EBITA (including adjusted EBITA margin), non-GAAP net income, non-GAAP diluted ...

Summary of Alibaba Group (BABA) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Alibaba Group (BABA) - **Market Cap**: $324.0 billion - **Enterprise Value**: $300.6 billion - **12-month Price Target**: $163.00 (current price: $135.00, upside: 20.7%) [1][19] Key Industry Insights - **Cloud Revenue Growth**: Alibaba's cloud revenue grew by 26% year-over-year, driven by triple-digit growth in AI-related products, which now contribute 20% of external cloud revenue [20][33] - **Capex Increase**: Record high capital expenditures of Rmb39 billion (US$5.4 billion), a 57% increase quarter-over-quarter, despite foreign chip supply constraints [21][33] - **Quick Commerce Losses**: Anticipated losses from quick commerce are expected to reach -Rmb31 billion in the September quarter, up from -Rmb20 billion previously, with a focus on improving unit economics [22][30] Financial Performance - **Revised Profit Forecasts**: Adjusted FY26E-FY28E net profit estimates by -9% to +2% due to larger quick commerce losses, partially offset by faster international eCommerce growth [3] - **Revenue Projections**: New revenue forecasts for FY26E at Rmb1,056,624.8 million, with a long-term target of Rmb1,284,425.5 million by FY28E [7][17] - **EBITDA and EPS**: Expected EBITDA for FY26E is Rmb156,393.8 million, with EPS revised to Rmb51.27 [7][17] Strategic Initiatives - **Food Delivery and Quick Commerce**: Commitment to improve unit economics in food delivery, with strategies including customer mix optimization and rider cost reductions [25][30] - **Market Share Goals**: Quick commerce market share is expected to stabilize at 40%, with a long-term assumption adjustment to 5:4:1 between Meituan, Alibaba, and JD [22][30] - **AI and Cloud Strategy**: Alibaba aims to position itself as a leader in AI and cloud services, enhancing its offerings with generative AI capabilities [31][34] Risks and Challenges - **Market Risks**: Potential risks include lower-than-expected GMV growth due to macroeconomic factors and competition, as well as slower monetization in the retail sector [35] - **Execution Risks**: Concerns regarding the execution of key strategic investments and the potential deceleration of cloud revenue growth [35] Conclusion - **Investment Outlook**: Despite short-term losses in quick commerce, Alibaba's strong cloud growth and commitment to improving unit economics present a compelling investment case. The company is viewed as a key beneficiary of upcoming industry drivers and potential domestic policy support [34][35]